Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $641.25MP/E –Yield 14.77%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Vitesse Energy passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 21.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $15.23 is below our fair value estimate of $19.32.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 152% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.2 times; we look for at least 5.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.40; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Guidance lowered
Vitesse Energy lowered its 2026 Oil as a Percentage of Annual Production outlook on Aug 3, 2026.
Valuation4/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Vitesse Energy's EV/EBITDA of 17.7 is below its 5-year median of 22.4.
P/B below the industry
Vitesse Energy's price-to-book of 1.12 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $15.23 is below our fair value estimate of $19.32.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 21.2% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 152% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 10.6% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.
Guidance lowered
Vitesse Energy lowered its 2026 Oil as a Percentage of Annual Production outlook on Aug 3, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Vitesse Energy's return on equity of -7.6% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was -15.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.2%.
Net margin below the industry
Vitesse Energy's net margin of -15.4% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.2 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.65 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.40; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Vitesse Energy paid dividends worth 12.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 12.3% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Vitesse Energy yields 12.3%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$19.32
The share price is 21% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 10.4× | 22.4× | 5.3× | $8.96 | 58% |
| P/B | 1.3× | 1.2× | 1.3× | $17.65 | 17% |
| Earnings power | 8.3% cost of equity | – | – | $44.61 | 25% |
| Fair value | $19.32 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 28.9
- Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $7.89M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $6.60M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 35%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.94
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.68
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +13.2% | – | +23.0% | – | |
| Operating income | -58.2% | – | – | – | |
| Net income | +20.0% | – | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | 0.0% | – | – | – | |
| Dividend per share | +8.4% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
6 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2019 | FY2019 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 4.5% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 3.0% | |
| Current ratio | – | – | 1.02 | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | 1.7× | |
| Diluted shares | – | – | 40M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Vitesse Energy does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 9.2% | 0.32× | 1.51× | 4.5% |
| FY2024 | 8.7% | 0.31× | 1.51× | 4.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$25.28M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$170.35M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.7% → 3.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$170.35M vs $25.28M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.51 → 1.02
- No dilutionShare count did not rise33M → 40M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.32 → 0.34
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