Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) stock analysis

P/E above its 5-year median

Vince's P/E of 23.4 is above its own 5-year median of 5.4.

P/E above the industry

Vince's P/E of 23.4 is above the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 19.2.

EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

Vince's EV/EBITDA of 11.7 is above its 5-year median of 6.6.

P/B above the industry

Vince's price-to-book of 2.99 is above the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 1.98.

Trading above fair value

The share price of $13.56 is above our fair value estimate of $7.13.

Margin of safety under 20%

The price is 90.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Revenue growing under 10% a year

Revenue grew -5.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

EPS growth over 3 years

Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

Earnings acceleration

Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

Growing faster than the industry

Revenue grew 8.0% over the last twelve months; the Apparel and Accessory Stores median is 6.1%.

Guidance raised

Vince raised its fiscal 2026 Net sales outlook on Sep 10, 2026.

Gross margin improving

Gross margin was 52.5% over the last twelve months, against 50.2% a year earlier.

Return on equity under 15%

Return on equity was 14.1% over the last twelve months and averaged -15.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

Return on capital under 10%

Return on invested capital was 9.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Return on equity below the industry

Vince's return on equity of 14.1% is below the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 16.8%.

Earnings over 5 years

Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

Net margin above its 5-year average

Net margin was 2.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -2.1%.

Net margin above the industry

Vince's net margin of 2.4% is above the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 0.7%.

Low debt

Debt is 20.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

Debt falling against equity

Debt to equity fell from 128% five years ago to 20.8%.

Debt covered by cash flow

Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 162% of total debt.

Interest not well covered

Operating income covers interest expense 4.4 times; we look for at least 5.

Short-term assets cover short-term debts

Current assets are 1.49 times current liabilities.

Elevated bankruptcy risk

The Altman Z-score is -4.37; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

No dividend

Vince has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Yield against Treasuries

No dividend.

Yield against the market

No dividend.

Dividend stability

No dividend.

Earnings cover

No dividend.

Cash-flow cover

No dividend.