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United Bancorp Inc (UBCP) stock analysis

UBCPNasdaqState Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 12, 2026Score 13/308% below fair value
$14.49+0.20 (+1.40%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $83.11MP/E 11.2Yield 6.35%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth1Performance1Health3Dividend5

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

United Bancorp passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
5/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $14.29 is below our fair value estimate of $15.61.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 6.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.5% a year.

  • P/E below the industry

    United Bancorp's P/E of 10.4 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 70.3% of net income.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 8.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 0.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -3.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    United Bancorp's P/E of 10.4 is above its own 5-year median of 9.9.

  • P/E below the industry

    United Bancorp's P/E of 10.4 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • P/S against the industry

    Not enough revenue data to compare.

  • P/B below the industry

    United Bancorp's price-to-book of 1.14 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $14.29 is below our fair value estimate of $15.61.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 8.5% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growth over 3 years

    Needs three years of positive revenue.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -3.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 6.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.5% a year.

  • Growth against the industry

    Needs revenue for this year and last.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets under 1%

    Return on assets was 0.9%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    United Bancorp's return on equity of 12.1% is above the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 0.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health3/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 8.2% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 71.5% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Thin loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 0.9% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • High cost base

    Non-interest expense takes 93.2% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 6.8% over the past year.

  • Borrowings

    Needs debt and equity figures.

Dividend5/6
  • Pays a dividend

    United Bancorp paid dividends worth 6.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 6.6% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; United Bancorp yields 6.6%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 70.3% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$15.61

The share price is 8% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$14.29Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E11.0×9.9×12.1×$15.1450%
P/B1.3×1.3×1.3×$16.0850%
Fair value$15.61100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 9.9
  • Commercial Banks median 12.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$119.60K
Value traded per 1% price move
$24.69K

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.5%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.20
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.15

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

–

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