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Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock analysis

TRVNYSEFire, Marine & Casualty InsuranceFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 16, 2026Score 11/3015% above fair value
$399.46−1.32 (-0.33%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $81.87BP/E 10.5Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance6Health0Dividend2

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Travelers Companies passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 27.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.3% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 32.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 41.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.4% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 15.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $399.46 is above our fair value estimate of $347.42.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • P/E above the industry

    Travelers Companies's P/E of 10.5 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 10.4.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Travelers Companies's P/E of 10.5 is below its own 5-year median of 12.6.

  • P/E above the industry

    Travelers Companies's P/E of 10.5 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 10.4.

  • P/S above the industry

    Travelers Companies's price-to-sales of 1.67 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.28.

  • P/B above the industry

    Travelers Companies's price-to-book of 2.82 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.62.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $399.46 is above our fair value estimate of $347.42.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 15.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 32.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 41.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.4% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 1.1% over the last twelve months; the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median is 5.0%.

  • Guidance unchanged

    The latest outlook (full year 2026 expense ratio, Jul 17, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 27.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.3% over five years.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 5.8%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Travelers Companies's return on equity of 27.5% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 15.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 17.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Travelers Companies's net margin of 17.0% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 12.0%.

Financial health0/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term liquidity

    Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    The Altman model does not apply to insurers.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Travelers Companies paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Travelers Companies yields 1.2%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 12.0% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$347.42

The share price is 15% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$399.46Price$347.42Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E11.5×12.6×10.4×$438.7950%
P/B1.8×2.0×1.6×$256.0550%
Fair value$347.42100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.6
  • Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$571.57M
Value traded per 1% price move
$600.10M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
6.8%
Volatility (annualized)
21%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.78
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.43

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

–

Net margin

12.9%+4.4 pts over 5 years

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