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Allstate Corp (ALL) stock analysis

ALLNYSEFire, Marine & Casualty InsuranceFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as ALL.PB, ALL.PH, ALL.PI, ALL.PJ
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 16/3026% below fair value
$262.18+1.06 (+0.41%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $66.29BP/E 5.9Yield 1.53%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth2Performance5Health0Dividend4

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Allstate passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 26.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $262.18 is below our fair value estimate of $354.81.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 38.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.0% a year.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 38.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • P/B above the industry

    Allstate's price-to-book of 2.05 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.62.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Allstate's P/E of 5.9 is below its own 5-year median of 11.3.

  • P/E below the industry

    Allstate's P/E of 5.9 is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 10.4.

  • P/S below the industry

    Allstate's price-to-sales of 0.94 is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.28.

  • P/B above the industry

    Allstate's price-to-book of 2.05 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.62.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $262.18 is below our fair value estimate of $354.81.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 26.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 38.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.0% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 5.1% over the last twelve months; the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median is 5.0%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 38.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 9.4%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Allstate's return on equity of 38.9% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 15.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Allstate's net margin of 16.6% is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 12.0%.

Financial health0/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term liquidity

    Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    The Altman model does not apply to insurers.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Allstate paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Allstate yields 1.6%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 9.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 8.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$354.81

The share price is 26% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$262.18Price$354.81Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E10.9×11.3×10.4×$479.6650%
P/B1.8×2.0×1.6×$229.9750%
Fair value$354.81100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 11.3
  • Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$435.84M
Value traded per 1% price move
$326.11M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.9%
Volatility (annualized)
26%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.93
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.45

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

15.2%+1.9 pts over 5 years

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