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Trimble Inc. (TRMB) stock analysis

TRMBNasdaqMeasuring & Controlling Devices, NECFiscal year ends January 2
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Oct 2, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 12/3031% below fair value
$56.48+1.73 (+3.16%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $13.17BP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth2Performance1Health5Dividend0

Mixed12 of 30 checks passed

Trimble passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 30.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $56.48 is below our fair value estimate of $81.46.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 30.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 1.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -2.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.6%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Trimble's EV/EBITDA of 17.3 is below its 5-year median of 27.1.

  • P/B below the industry

    Trimble's price-to-book of 2.65 is below the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 3.17.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $56.48 is below our fair value estimate of $81.46.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 30.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -0.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -0.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -144% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.7% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 6.9% over the last twelve months; the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median is 8.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    Trimble raised its full-year 2026 revenue outlook on Aug 12, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 69.6% over the last twelve months, against 68.3% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -2.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.6%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Trimble's return on equity of -2.9% is below the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 1.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 1.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -4.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.3%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Trimble's net margin of -4.1% is below the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of -1.3%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 30.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 50.1% five years ago to 30.8%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 53.8% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 8.0 times.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.93 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.32; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Trimble has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$81.46

The share price is 31% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$56.48Price$81.46Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA25.4×27.1×23.7×$85.5778%
P/B3.1×3.1×3.2×$67.0422%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others11.7% cost of equity––$17.33–
Fair value$81.46100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 31.9
  • Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median 36.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$137.41M
Value traded per 1% price move
$95.26M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
19.4%
Volatility (annualized)
36%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.92
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.36

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

69.1%+13.4 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

16.5%+3.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

11.8%−0.6 pts over 5 years

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