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Rockwell Automation, Inc (ROK) stock analysis

ROKNYSEMeasuring & Controlling Devices, NECFiscal year ends September 30
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Nov 12, 2026Score 17/304% below fair value
$406.19+9.03 (+2.27%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $45.11BP/E 38.1Yield 1.29%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth3Performance4Health5Dividend4

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

Rockwell Automation passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $406.19 is below our fair value estimate of $421.37.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 34.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 42.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 26.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 23.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -3.2% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • High debt

    Debt is 93.2% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 3.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Rockwell Automation's P/E of 38.1 is above its own 5-year median of 33.1.

  • P/E above the industry

    Rockwell Automation's P/E of 38.1 is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 36.5.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Rockwell Automation's price-to-book of 12.91 is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 3.17.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $406.19 is below our fair value estimate of $421.37.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 23.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -3.2% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 11.3% over the last twelve months; the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median is 8.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    Rockwell Automation raised its fiscal 2026 Organic sales growth outlook on Aug 4, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 49.1% over the last twelve months, against 53.6% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 34.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 42.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 26.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Rockwell Automation's return on equity of 34.5% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 1.1%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 3.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 13.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.7%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Rockwell Automation's net margin of 13.4% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of -1.3%.

Financial health5/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 93.2% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 195% five years ago to 93.2%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 53.2% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 14.7 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.08 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.75; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Rockwell Automation paid dividends worth 1.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.4% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Rockwell Automation yields 1.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 50.9% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 40.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$421.37

The share price is 4% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$406.19Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E34.8×33.1×36.5×$371.2353%
EV/EBITDA23.7×–23.7×$478.6747%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others10.6% cost of equity––$90.71–
Fair value$421.37100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 33.1
  • Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median 36.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$422.95M
Value traded per 1% price move
$269.73M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.4%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.02
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.15

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

50.0%+8.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

–

Net margin

15.7%−3.7 pts over 5 years

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