Shoe Station Group Inc (SHOE) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $386.01MP/E 16.1Yield 4.23%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid16 of 30 checks passed
Shoe Station passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 6/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 23.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $14.51 is below our fair value estimate of $18.98.
No debt
Shoe Station has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 26.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -3.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -21.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation4/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Shoe Station's P/E of 16.5 is above its own 5-year median of 8.3.
P/E below the industry
Shoe Station's P/E of 16.5 is below the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 19.2.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Shoe Station's EV/EBITDA of 4.0 is above its 5-year median of 3.9.
P/B below the industry
Shoe Station's price-to-book of 0.58 is below the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 1.98.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $14.51 is below our fair value estimate of $18.98.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 23.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -3.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -21.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -61.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 26.7% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -4.1% over the last twelve months; the Apparel and Accessory Stores median is 4.7%.
Guidance lowered
Shoe Station lowered its Fiscal 2026 Net sales outlook on Sep 10, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 34.5% over the last twelve months, against 36.1% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Shoe Station's return on equity of 3.6% is below the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 16.8%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 26.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.5%.
Net margin below the industry
Shoe Station's net margin of 2.2% is below the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 2.3%.
Financial health5/6
No debt
Shoe Station has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 79.2 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 4.04 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.93; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend6/6
Pays a dividend
Shoe Station paid dividends worth 4.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 4.5% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Shoe Station yields 4.5%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 6 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 73.4% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 26.8% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$18.98
The share price is 24% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 13.7× | 8.3× | 19.2× | $12.06 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.5× | 3.9× | 7.2× | $18.31 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.6× | 1.3× | 2.0× | $40.48 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.1% cost of equity | – | – | $24.68 | 15% |
| Fair value | $18.98 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 8.3
- Apparel and Accessory Stores median 19.2
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $10.88M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $4.23M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 20.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 48%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.41
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.04
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -5.6% | -3.5% | +3.1% | +1.4% | |
| Gross profit | -3.2% | -3.9% | +8.2% | +3.6% | |
| Operating income | -26.8% | -23.0% | +25.0% | +3.7% | |
| Net income | -29.1% | -22.0% | +26.7% | +6.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | -29.1% | -21.7% | +27.7% | +10.1% | |
| Free cash flow | -61.7% | – | -12.2% | -1.4% | |
| Dividend per share | +11.1% | +18.6% | – | +16.8% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | |
| Return on assets | 5.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | |
| Current ratio | 4.08 | 2.71 | 3.76 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.00 | – | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -1.02× | – | – | |
| Interest coverage | 224.3× | 53.1× | 179.0× | |
| Inventory turnover | 2.5× | 2.8× | 1.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 36M | 28M | 28M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Shoe Station generated $495.03M from operations and spent $347.56M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 70% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 4.6% | 0.98× | 1.74× | 7.8% |
| FY2024 | 6.1% | 1.11× | 1.76× | 12.0% |
| FY2023 | 6.2% | 1.16× | 1.83× | 13.2% |
| FY2022 | 8.7% | 1.40× | 1.84× | 22.5% |
| FY2021 | 11.6% | 1.83× | 1.91× | 40.6% |
| FY2020 | 1.6% | 1.54× | 2.09× | 5.3% |
| FY2019 | 4.1% | 1.98× | 1.74× | 14.3% |
| FY2018 | 3.7% | 2.47× | 1.36× | 12.5% |
| FY2017 | 1.9% | 2.33× | 1.40× | 6.0% |
| FY2016 | 2.3% | 2.13× | 1.43× | 7.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$52.27M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$71.30M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year7.1% → 4.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$71.30M vs $52.27M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose4.11 → 3.76
- No dilutionShare count did not rise28M → 28M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year35.65% → 36.57%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.15 → 1.01
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