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Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) stock analysis

SBHNYSERetail-Retail Stores, NECFiscal year ends September 30
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Nov 10, 2026Score 14/3025% below fair value
$18.41−0.81 (-4.21%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $1.72BP/E 9.1Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth2Performance5Health3Dividend0

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Sally Beauty passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $19.22 is below our fair value estimate of $25.48.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 23.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 37.6% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 16.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • High debt

    Debt is 88.6% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 3.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 6.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Sally Beauty's P/E of 9.5 is above its own 5-year median of 7.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    Sally Beauty's P/E of 9.5 is below the Miscellaneous Retail median of 17.9.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Sally Beauty's EV/EBITDA of 5.7 is above its 5-year median of 5.2.

  • P/B below the industry

    Sally Beauty's price-to-book of 2.02 is below the Miscellaneous Retail median of 2.05.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $19.22 is below our fair value estimate of $25.48.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 6.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 2.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -3.6% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 0.9% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Retail median is 2.6%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Sally Beauty lowered its Full Year Consolidated Net Sales outlook on Aug 3, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 52.0% over the last twelve months, against 51.6% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 23.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 37.6% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 16.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Sally Beauty's return on equity of 23.8% is above the Miscellaneous Retail median of -3.7%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 3.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 5.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Sally Beauty's net margin of 5.4% is above the Miscellaneous Retail median of -2.5%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 88.6% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 493% five years ago to 88.6%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 40.9% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.37 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.99; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Sally Beauty has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$25.48

The share price is 25% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$19.22Price$25.48Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E12.7×7.7×17.9×$25.7440%
EV/EBITDA8.0×5.2×10.8×$29.7435%
P/B2.1×2.1×2.1×$19.8910%
Earnings power10.4% cost of equity––$18.5515%
Fair value$25.48100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 7.7
  • Miscellaneous Retail median 17.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$26.19M
Value traded per 1% price move
$11.10M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.8%
Volatility (annualized)
44%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.73
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.10

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

52.0%+1.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

8.7%−2.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

5.4%−0.8 pts over 5 years

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