StockData

Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) stock analysis

RRRNasdaqHotels & MotelsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 5/3043% above fair value
$49.19−0.99 (-1.97%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $5.17BP/E 29.5Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth0Performance4Health0Dividend1

Weak5 of 30 checks passed

Red Rock Resorts passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 60.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 170% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Red Rock Resorts's return on equity of 60.8% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 20.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Red Rock Resorts's net margin of 5.8% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 5.7%.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 42.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $50.18 is above our fair value estimate of $35.15.

  • High debt

    Debt is 2261% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Red Rock Resorts's P/E of 30.0 is above its own 5-year median of 19.1.

  • P/E above the industry

    Red Rock Resorts's P/E of 30.0 is above the Hotels and Motels median of 25.6.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Red Rock Resorts's EV/EBITDA of 13.2 is above its 5-year median of 11.1.

  • P/B above the industry

    Red Rock Resorts's price-to-book of 32.01 is above the Hotels and Motels median of 2.81.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $50.18 is above our fair value estimate of $35.15.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 42.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 1.1% over the last twelve months; the Hotels and Motels median is 3.9%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 60.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 170% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Red Rock Resorts's return on equity of 60.8% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 20.0%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 5.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Red Rock Resorts's net margin of 5.8% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 5.7%.

Financial health0/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 2261% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 823% five years ago to 2261%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 15.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.3 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.84 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.58; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Red Rock Resorts paid dividends worth 2.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Red Rock Resorts yields 2.1%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 7 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 104% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Not covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 239% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$35.15

The share price is 43% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$50.18Price$35.15Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.3×19.1×25.6×$37.2944%
EV/EBITDA10.4×11.1×9.7×$33.0439%
Earnings power10.5% cost of equity––$34.3417%
Fair value$35.15100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.1
  • Hotels and Motels median 25.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$44.68M
Value traded per 1% price move
$29.94M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.2%
Volatility (annualized)
33%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.59
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.12

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2014 to 2025

Operating margin

29.7%+22.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

9.3%+22.1 pts over 5 years

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