Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.48BP/E 11.7Yield 0.93%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
Boyd Gaming passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 29.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $77.50 is below our fair value estimate of $109.25.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 19.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 47.1% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 13.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
High debt
Debt is 109% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 4.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.09; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/E above its 5-year median
Boyd Gaming's P/E of 11.7 is above its own 5-year median of 10.8.
Valuation5/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Boyd Gaming's P/E of 11.7 is above its own 5-year median of 10.8.
P/E below the industry
Boyd Gaming's P/E of 11.7 is below the Hotels and Motels median of 25.6.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Boyd Gaming's EV/EBITDA of 7.2 is below its 5-year median of 7.5.
P/B below the industry
Boyd Gaming's price-to-book of 2.24 is below the Hotels and Motels median of 2.81.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $77.50 is below our fair value estimate of $109.25.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 29.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 4.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 56.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 0.3% over the last twelve months; the Hotels and Motels median is 3.9%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 19.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 47.1% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 13.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Boyd Gaming's return on equity of 19.6% is below the Hotels and Motels median of 20.0%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 12.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.6%.
Net margin above the industry
Boyd Gaming's net margin of 12.3% is above the Hotels and Motels median of 5.7%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 109% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 347% five years ago to 109%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 22.0% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 6.1 times.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.33 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.09; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Boyd Gaming paid dividends worth 1.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Boyd Gaming yields 1.0%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 8 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 11.5% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$109.25
The share price is 29% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.1× | 10.8× | 25.6× | $120.03 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.6× | 7.5× | 9.7× | $99.52 | 35% |
| P/B | 3.3× | 3.7× | 2.8× | $113.52 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 9.5% cost of equity | – | – | $100.36 | 15% |
| Fair value | $109.25 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 10.8
- Hotels and Motels median 25.6
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $81.27M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $65.52M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 26%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.40
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.92
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.1% | +4.8% | +13.4% | +6.4% | |
| Operating income | -19.3% | -8.6% | +120.8% | +10.7% | |
| Net income | +218.9% | +42.3% | – | +44.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | +264.5% | +56.6% | – | +48.9% | |
| Free cash flow | -30.2% | -18.1% | +27.8% | +7.2% | |
| Dividend per share | +5.9% | +6.3% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 58.4% | -11.3% | 88.0% | |
| Return on assets | 9.3% | -2.0% | 28.4% | |
| Current ratio | 0.84 | 1.24 | 0.54 | |
| Debt to equity | 3.47 | 3.47 | 0.78 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 6.65× | 11.44× | 1.61× | |
| Interest coverage | 1.2× | 0.1× | 4.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 7.3% | 8.0% | 14.4% | |
| Diluted shares | 115M | 114M | 82M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Boyd Gaming generated $4.83B from operations and spent $4.56B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 40% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 45.0% | 0.63× | 3.09× | 88.0% |
| FY2024 | 14.7% | 0.62× | 3.81× | 34.8% |
| FY2023 | 16.6% | 0.59× | 3.77× | 37.2% |
| FY2022 | 18.0% | 0.57× | 4.01× | 40.9% |
| FY2021 | 13.8% | 0.53× | 4.80× | 34.8% |
| FY2020 | -6.2% | 0.33× | 5.53× | -11.3% |
| FY2019 | 4.7% | 0.54× | 5.15× | 13.1% |
| FY2018 | 4.4% | 0.50× | 4.66× | 10.3% |
| FY2017 | 7.9% | 0.51× | 4.62× | 18.7% |
| FY2016 | 19.1% | 0.49× | 6.27× | 58.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.84B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$976.68M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.2% → 28.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$976.68M vs $1.84B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell49.0% → 31.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.90 → 0.54
- No dilutionShare count did not rise93M → 82M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.63 → 0.64
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