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Ryder System Inc (R) stock analysis

RNYSEServices-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers)Fiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 22, 2026Score 11/3067% above fair value
$282.27+0.55 (+0.20%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $10.79BP/E 21.5Yield 1.22%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance3Health2Dividend4

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Ryder System passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 17.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.3% over five years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 37.9% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Ryder System raised its Full Year 2026 Outlook Total Revenue Growth outlook on Jul 23, 2026.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 15.7% of free cash flow.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 66.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $282.27 is above our fair value estimate of $169.42.

  • High debt

    Debt is 242% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Ryder System's P/E of 21.5 is above its own 5-year median of 12.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Ryder System's P/E of 21.5 is above the Consumer discretionary median of 19.6.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Ryder System's price-to-book of 3.62 is above the Consumer discretionary median of 2.00.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $282.27 is above our fair value estimate of $169.42.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 66.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -11.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 3.2% over the last twelve months; the Consumer discretionary median is 2.8%.

  • Guidance raised

    Ryder System raised its Full Year 2026 Outlook Total Revenue Growth outlook on Jul 23, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 17.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.3% over five years.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Ryder System's return on equity of 17.1% is above the Consumer discretionary median of 5.6%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 4.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Ryder System's net margin of 4.0% is above the Consumer discretionary median of -5.4%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 242% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 293% five years ago to 242%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 37.9% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.67 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.42; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Ryder System paid dividends worth 1.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Ryder System yields 1.3%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 28.8% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 15.7% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$169.42

The share price is 67% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$282.27Price$169.42Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E16.2×12.8×19.6×$212.0262%
EV/EBITDAleft out, too far from the others9.8×–9.8×$675.35–
P/B1.9×1.8×2.0×$146.0915%
Earnings power9.3% cost of equity––$71.3923%
Fair value$169.42100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.8
  • Consumer discretionary median 19.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$89.48M
Value traded per 1% price move
$59.85M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.6%
Volatility (annualized)
33%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.89
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.89

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Net margin

3.9%+5.4 pts over 5 years

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