Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. (PPHC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $335.71MP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak3 of 30 checks passed
Public Policy passes 3 of the 30 checks behind our score; 16 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Low debt
Debt is 33.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.17 times current liabilities.
Pays a dividend
Public Policy paid dividends worth 3.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 49.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $11.11 is above our fair value estimate of $7.42.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -24.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -11.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Public Policy's price-to-book of 2.84 is above the Management and Public Relations Services median of 2.31.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $11.11 is above our fair value estimate of $7.42.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 49.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growth over 3 years
Needs three years of positive revenue.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growth against the industry
Needs revenue for this year and last.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (full year 2026 Revenue, Aug 10, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -24.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Public Policy's return on equity of -30.3% is below the Management and Public Relations Services median of 0.4%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin below the industry
Public Policy's net margin of -14.6% is below the Management and Public Relations Services median of 0.2%.
Financial health2/6
Low debt
Debt is 33.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -4.4% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -11.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.17 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Public Policy paid dividends worth 3.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Public Policy yields 3.2%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$7.42
The share price is 50% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/B | 2.3× | – | 2.3× | $9.01 | 29% |
| P/S | 1.0× | – | 1.0× | $6.62 | 29% |
| Earnings power | 9.9% cost of equity | – | – | $6.88 | 43% |
| Fair value | $7.42 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $1.17M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $445.53K
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 31.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 64%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.10
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- –
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2023 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +24.7% | – | – | – | |
| Gross profit | +8.0% | – | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | +51.5% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
3 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2023 | FY2023 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | -50.0% | |
| Current ratio | – | – | 1.11 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 0.63 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | -0.94× | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | -10.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | 0.0% | |
| Diluted shares | – | – | 17M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Public Policy does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | -20.9% | 0.99× | 2.41× | -50.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$39.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$24.77M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → -22.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$24.77M vs -$39.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell14.9% → 18.7%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.21 → 1.11
- No dilutionShare count did not rise13M → 17M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year11.55% → 10.00%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose– → 1.07
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