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Exponent Inc (EXPO) stock analysis

EXPONasdaqServices-Management Consulting ServicesFiscal year ends January 1
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Oct 2, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 20/3024% above fair value
$87.31+1.09 (+1.26%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $4.15BP/E 37.6Yield 1.37%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth3Performance5Health6Dividend4

Solid20 of 30 checks passed

Exponent passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 32.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 27.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 51.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    Exponent has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 5.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 24.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $87.31 is above our fair value estimate of $70.23.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Exponent's P/E of 37.6 is below its own 5-year median of 44.6.

  • P/E above the industry

    Exponent's P/E of 37.6 is above the Management and Public Relations Services median of 25.4.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Exponent's EV/EBITDA of 26.8 is below its 5-year median of 33.6.

  • P/B above the industry

    Exponent's price-to-book of 13.48 is above the Management and Public Relations Services median of 2.11.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $87.31 is above our fair value estimate of $70.23.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 24.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 9.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 15.4% over the last twelve months; the Management and Public Relations Services median is 7.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    Exponent raised its full fiscal year 2026 EBITDA 1 to be 27.8% to 28.1% of revenues before reimbursements outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 32.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 27.5% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 51.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Exponent's return on equity of 32.3% is above the Management and Public Relations Services median of 0.4%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 5.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 17.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Exponent's net margin of 17.4% is above the Management and Public Relations Services median of 0.2%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Exponent has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.93 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 9.78; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Exponent paid dividends worth 1.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.4% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Exponent yields 1.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 53.2% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 43.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$70.23

The share price is 24% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$87.31Price$70.23Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E35.0×44.6×25.4×$81.2544%
EV/EBITDA23.1×33.6×12.6×$75.7039%
Earnings power9.4% cost of equity––$28.1017%
Fair value$70.23100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 44.6
  • Management and Public Relations Services median 25.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$40.59M
Value traded per 1% price move
$29.53M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.2%
Volatility (annualized)
33%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.59
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.87

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

20.6%−0.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

18.2%−2.4 pts over 5 years

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