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PulteGroup Inc (PHM) stock analysis

PHMNYSEOperative BuildersFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 22, 2026Score 13/3025% above fair value
$129.50−1.10 (-0.84%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $23.84BP/E 13.8Yield 0.71%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth0Performance3Health5Dividend4

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

PulteGroup passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • No debt

    PulteGroup has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 9.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 25.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $129.50 is above our fair value estimate of $103.24.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 13.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    PulteGroup's P/E of 13.8 is above its own 5-year median of 8.2.

  • P/E below the industry

    PulteGroup's P/E of 13.8 is below the Operative Builders median of 14.1.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    PulteGroup's price-to-book of 1.82 is above the Operative Builders median of 1.00.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $129.50 is above our fair value estimate of $103.24.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 25.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -31.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -9.3% over the last twelve months; the Operative Builders median is -7.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 13.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    PulteGroup's return on equity of 13.9% is above the Operative Builders median of 10.7%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 9.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    PulteGroup's net margin of 11.2% is above the Operative Builders median of 4.3%.

Financial health5/6
  • No debt

    PulteGroup has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.52; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    PulteGroup paid dividends worth 0.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; PulteGroup yields 0.8%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 10.8% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 14.9% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$103.24

The share price is 25% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$129.50Price$103.24Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E11.1×8.2×14.1×$104.1162%
P/B1.4×1.9×1.0×$103.0615%
Earnings power9.8% cost of equity––$101.0323%
Fair value$103.24100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 8.2
  • Operative Builders median 14.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$262.14M
Value traded per 1% price move
$124.57M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.5%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.10
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.98

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

12.8%+0.1 pts over 5 years

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