PulteGroup Inc (PHM) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $23.84BP/E 13.8Yield 0.71%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
PulteGroup passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
No debt
PulteGroup has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 9.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 25.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $129.50 is above our fair value estimate of $103.24.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 13.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 2.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
PulteGroup's P/E of 13.8 is above its own 5-year median of 8.2.
P/E below the industry
PulteGroup's P/E of 13.8 is below the Operative Builders median of 14.1.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
PulteGroup's price-to-book of 1.82 is above the Operative Builders median of 1.00.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $129.50 is above our fair value estimate of $103.24.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 25.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 2.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 0.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -31.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -9.3% over the last twelve months; the Operative Builders median is -7.3%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 13.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
PulteGroup's return on equity of 13.9% is above the Operative Builders median of 10.7%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 9.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 11.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.3%.
Net margin above the industry
PulteGroup's net margin of 11.2% is above the Operative Builders median of 4.3%.
Financial health5/6
No debt
PulteGroup has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.52; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
PulteGroup paid dividends worth 0.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; PulteGroup yields 0.8%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 10.8% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 14.9% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$103.24
The share price is 25% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.1× | 8.2× | 14.1× | $104.11 | 62% |
| P/B | 1.4× | 1.9× | 1.0× | $103.06 | 15% |
| Earnings power | 9.8% cost of equity | – | – | $101.03 | 23% |
| Fair value | $103.24 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 8.2
- Operative Builders median 14.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $262.14M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $124.57M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 15.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 35%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.10
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.98
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -3.5% | +2.7% | +9.4% | +11.2% | |
| Net income | -28.0% | -5.4% | +9.5% | +16.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | -24.3% | +0.3% | +16.5% | +23.4% | |
| Free cash flow | +11.9% | +46.5% | +0.3% | – | |
| Dividend per share | +12.2% | +14.7% | +13.0% | +10.8% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 12.8% | 23.4% | 17.7% | |
| Return on assets | 6.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 342M | 269M | 200M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
PulteGroup generated $7.42B from operations and spent $6.67B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 8% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 12.8% | 0.98× | 1.41× | 17.7% |
| FY2024 | 17.2% | 1.07× | 1.49× | 27.4% |
| FY2023 | 16.2% | 1.04× | 1.60× | 27.0% |
| FY2022 | 16.4% | 1.14× | 1.72× | 31.9% |
| FY2021 | 14.2% | 1.07× | 1.82× | 27.7% |
| FY2020 | 12.7% | 0.96× | 1.91× | 23.4% |
| FY2019 | 10.0% | 0.98× | 2.03× | 19.8% |
| FY2018 | 10.0% | 1.03× | 2.21× | 22.8% |
| FY2017 | 5.2% | 0.86× | 2.25× | 10.1% |
| FY2016 | 7.9% | 0.79× | 2.06× | 12.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$2.22B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.87B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year19.2% → 12.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.87B vs $2.22B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise210M → 200M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.12 → 1.00
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