Otter Tail Corp (OTTR) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $3.16BP/E 18.0Yield 2.79%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
Otter Tail passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $77.82 is below our fair value estimate of $78.49.
Low debt
Debt is 7.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 23.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 269% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 0.9% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 20.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 9.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -4.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation3/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Otter Tail's P/E of 18.6 is above its own 5-year median of 12.2.
P/E below the industry
Otter Tail's P/E of 18.6 is below the Electric Services median of 20.9.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Otter Tail's EV/EBITDA of 10.1 is above its 5-year median of 8.1.
P/B below the industry
Otter Tail's price-to-book of 1.71 is below the Electric Services median of 2.02.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $77.82 is below our fair value estimate of $78.49.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 0.9% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -4.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -1.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -36.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 23.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 0.0% over the last twelve months; the Electric Services median is 7.8%.
Guidance lowered
Otter Tail lowered its 2026 Corporate segment EPS outlook on Feb 17, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 66.4% over the last twelve months, against 69.0% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 20.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 9.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Otter Tail's return on equity of 9.4% is above the Electric Services median of 8.3%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 23.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 13.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.9%.
Net margin above the industry
Otter Tail's net margin of 13.6% is above the Electric Services median of 8.8%.
Financial health4/6
Low debt
Debt is 7.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 97.1% five years ago to 7.9%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 269% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.37 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.71; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Otter Tail paid dividends worth 2.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Otter Tail yields 2.9%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 53.8% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$78.49
The share price is 1% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 16.5× | 12.2× | 20.9× | $69.24 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.2× | 8.1× | 12.2× | $78.50 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.1× | 2.3× | 2.0× | $97.46 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.1% cost of equity | – | – | $90.50 | 15% |
| Fair value | $78.49 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 12.2
- Electric Services median 20.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $20.20M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $18.93M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 8.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 23%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.55
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.64
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -2.3% | -4.0% | +8.0% | +5.2% | |
| Gross profit | +0.2% | -1.1% | +10.1% | – | |
| Operating income | -9.1% | -4.0% | +18.5% | +12.2% | |
| Net income | -8.5% | -1.0% | +23.5% | +16.6% | |
| EPS, diluted | -8.6% | -1.1% | +22.9% | +15.3% | |
| Free cash flow | +4.1% | -23.4% | – | – | |
| Dividend per share | +12.3% | +8.4% | +7.2% | +5.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.6% | |
| Return on assets | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | |
| Current ratio | 0.96 | 0.54 | 2.28 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.87 | 0.97 | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.06× | 3.67× | – | |
| Interest coverage | – | 4.3× | 7.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 3.5× | 2.6× | |
| Capex to revenue | 20.1% | 42.1% | 22.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 39M | 41M | 42M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Otter Tail generated $1.86B from operations and spent $1.65B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 77% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 21.2% | 0.34× | 2.16× | 15.6% |
| FY2024 | 22.7% | 0.39× | 2.22× | 19.4% |
| FY2023 | 21.7% | 0.44× | 2.31× | 22.1% |
| FY2022 | 19.3% | 0.52× | 2.56× | 25.7% |
| FY2021 | 14.8% | 0.45× | 2.86× | 19.0% |
| FY2020 | 10.9% | 0.36× | 2.94× | 11.6% |
| FY2019 | 9.4% | 0.43× | 2.86× | 11.5% |
| FY2018 | 9.0% | 0.45× | 2.85× | 11.6% |
| FY2017 | 8.5% | 0.43× | 2.87× | 10.6% |
| FY2016 | 7.8% | 0.43× | 2.93× | 9.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$275.89M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$385.99M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.3% → 7.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$385.99M vs $275.89M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.03 → 2.28
- No dilutionShare count did not rise42M → 42M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year67.33% → 69.02%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.41 → 0.36
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