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TXNM Energy Inc (TXNM) stock analysis

TXNMNYSEElectric ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 5/303% above fair value
$58.83+0.73 (+1.26%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $6.48BP/E 28.3Yield 2.80%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance0Health0Dividend2

Weak5 of 30 checks passed

TXNM Energy passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    TXNM Energy's EV/EBITDA of 11.7 is below its 5-year median of 12.5.

  • P/B below the industry

    TXNM Energy's price-to-book of 1.78 is below the Electric Services median of 2.02.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 10.0% over the last twelve months; the Electric Services median is 7.8%.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $58.83 is above our fair value estimate of $57.09.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 165% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    TXNM Energy's P/E of 28.3 is above its own 5-year median of 25.4.

  • P/E above the industry

    TXNM Energy's P/E of 28.3 is above the Electric Services median of 20.9.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    TXNM Energy's EV/EBITDA of 11.7 is below its 5-year median of 12.5.

  • P/B below the industry

    TXNM Energy's price-to-book of 1.78 is below the Electric Services median of 2.02.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $58.83 is above our fair value estimate of $57.09.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -9.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 10.0% over the last twelve months; the Electric Services median is 7.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health0/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 165% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 162% five years ago to 165%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 10.2% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.0 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.81 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.84; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    TXNM Energy paid dividends worth 2.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; TXNM Energy yields 2.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$57.09

The share price is 3% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$58.83Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E23.2×25.4×20.9×$48.2147%
EV/EBITDA12.3×12.5×12.2×$65.3341%
P/B1.9×1.8×2.0×$63.7812%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others7.4% cost of equity––$15.74–
Fair value$57.09100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 25.4
  • Electric Services median 20.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$64.73M
Value traded per 1% price move
$235.27M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
4.2%
Volatility (annualized)
5%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.47
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.17

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

20.4%+1.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

–

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