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Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) stock analysis

ONTONYSEMeasuring & Controlling Devices, NECFiscal year ends December 26
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 9, 2026Score 13/3063% above fair value
$215.06+17.55 (+8.89%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $10.55BP/E 70.7Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance4Health6Dividend0

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Onto Innovation passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 18.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    Onto Innovation has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 34.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 62.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $215.06 is above our fair value estimate of $132.21.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Onto Innovation's P/E of 70.7 is above its own 5-year median of 38.5.

  • P/E above the industry

    Onto Innovation's P/E of 70.7 is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 36.5.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Onto Innovation's EV/EBITDA of 45.1 is below its 5-year median of 49.0.

  • P/B above the industry

    Onto Innovation's price-to-book of 5.33 is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 3.17.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $215.06 is above our fair value estimate of $132.21.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 62.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -14.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -13.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 34.5% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 30.9% over the last twelve months; the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median is 8.4%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (third quarter ending September 30, 2026 Revenue, Aug 6, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 51.7% over the last twelve months, against 50.7% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 18.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Onto Innovation's return on equity of 7.6% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 1.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 34.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Onto Innovation's net margin of 11.5% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of -1.3%.

Financial health6/6
  • No debt

    Onto Innovation has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 6.78 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.89; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Onto Innovation has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$132.21

The share price is 63% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$215.06Price$132.21Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E37.5×38.5×36.5×$114.1147%
EV/EBITDA30.0×49.0×23.7×$151.6641%
P/B3.4×3.6×3.2×$136.5412%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others14.9% cost of equity––$30.26–
Fair value$132.21100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 38.5
  • Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median 36.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$262.96M
Value traded per 1% price move
$61.08M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
37.0%
Volatility (annualized)
77%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.63
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
2.04

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

49.7%−0.3 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

13.2%+18.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

13.6%+8.0 pts over 5 years

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