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Onterris, Inc. (ONT) stock analysis

ONTNYSEServices-Management Consulting ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 11/3040% below fair value
$23.47−0.19 (-0.80%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $824.21MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth3Performance1Health3Dividend0

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Onterris passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 11 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 40.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $23.47 is below our fair value estimate of $39.34.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 27.1% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -2.3% over the last twelve months and averaged -9.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 1.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 71.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.51; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation4/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Onterris's EV/EBITDA of 18.8 is below its 5-year median of 45.1.

  • P/B below the industry

    Onterris's price-to-book of 1.83 is below the Management and Public Relations Services median of 2.31.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $23.47 is below our fair value estimate of $39.34.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 40.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -9.1% over the last twelve months; the Management and Public Relations Services median is 7.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    Onterris raised its 2026 revenue outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 41.5% over the last twelve months, against 40.8% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -2.3% over the last twelve months and averaged -9.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 1.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Onterris's return on equity of -2.3% is below the Management and Public Relations Services median of 0.4%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was -1.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -4.9%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Onterris's net margin of -1.4% is below the Management and Public Relations Services median of 0.2%.

Financial health3/6

  • High debt

    Debt is 71.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 128% five years ago to 71.7%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 27.1% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.88 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.51; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Onterris has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$39.34

The share price is 40% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$23.47Price$39.34Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA29.1×45.1×12.9×$41.0778%
P/B2.6×2.9×2.3×$33.2722%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others11.5% cost of equity––$9.82–
Fair value$39.34100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • EV/EBITDA at month end
  • Own 5-year median 45.1
  • Management and Public Relations Services median 12.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$10.98M
Value traded per 1% price move
$3.26M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
28.2%
Volatility (annualized)
77%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.12
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.31

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2017 to 2025

Gross margin

40.3%+5.9 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

1.4%+8.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-0.1%+17.6 pts over 5 years

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