Organon & Co. (OGN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.65BP/E 18.0Yield 2.45%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak8 of 30 checks passed
Organon passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $13.89 is below our fair value estimate of $15.60.
P/E below the industry
Organon's P/E of 18.0 is below the Drugs median of 25.1.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 3.0% of free cash flow.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 9.4% of net income.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 11.0% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
High debt
Debt is 717% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 38.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation2/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Organon's P/E of 18.0 is above its own 5-year median of 5.7.
P/E below the industry
Organon's P/E of 18.0 is below the Drugs median of 25.1.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Organon's price-to-book of 3.06 is above the Drugs median of 2.29.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $13.89 is below our fair value estimate of $15.60.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 11.0% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -41.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -57.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -38.7% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -3.2% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 8.0%.
Guidance lowered
Organon lowered its Full Year 2026 Guidance FX translation impact outlook on Feb 12, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 53.1% over the last twelve months, against 55.0% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Organon's return on equity of 20.3% is above the Drugs median of -58.9%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 38.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 3.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.8%.
Net margin above the industry
Organon's net margin of 3.5% is above the Drugs median of -53.0%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 717% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 0.0% five years ago to 717%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 9.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.02 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Organon paid dividends worth 0.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Organon yields 0.6%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 5 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 9.4% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 3.0% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$15.60
The share price is 11% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 15.3× | 5.7× | 25.1× | $11.81 | 62% |
| P/B | 3.3× | 4.3× | 2.3× | $15.00 | 15% |
| Earnings power | 9.0% cost of equity | – | – | $26.11 | 23% |
| Fair value | $15.60 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 5.7
- Drugs median 25.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $33.53M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $219.60M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 21.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 58%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.30
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.82
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2018 to 2025
Gross margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -2.9% | +0.2% | -1.0% | – | |
| Gross profit | -10.8% | -5.1% | -5.6% | – | |
| Net income | -78.4% | -41.1% | -38.7% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -78.4% | -41.5% | -39.0% | – | |
| Free cash flow | -29.6% | -6.7% | -23.3% | – | |
| Dividend per share | -69.6% | -32.8% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
8 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2018 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 34.5% | 30.6% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 1.4% | |
| Current ratio | – | 1.33 | 1.82 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.00 | 11.49 | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 2.1× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 3.9% | 2.6% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 254M | 261M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Organon generated $5.46B from operations and spent $2.09B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 47% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 3.0% | 0.48× | 21.22× | 30.6% |
| FY2024 | 13.5% | 0.51× | 62.58× | 429.9% |
| FY2023 | 16.3% | 0.54× | -23.92× | -212.7% |
| FY2022 | 14.9% | 0.57× | -9.02× | -76.4% |
| FY2021 | 21.4% | 0.61× | 5.23× | 67.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$187.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$700.00M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year7.2% → 1.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$700.00M vs $187.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell67.6% → 67.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.60 → 1.82
- No dilutionShare count did not rise259M → 261M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year58.02% → 53.30%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.53 → 0.47
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