NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.19TP/E 22.0Yield 0.02%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Strong26 of 30 checks passed
Nvidia passes 26 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 43.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $173.73 is below our fair value estimate of $306.55.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 117% over the last twelve months and averaged 75.0% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 114%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
Guidance lowered
Nvidia lowered its full year fiscal 2027 tax rates outlook on May 20, 2026.
P/B above the industry
Nvidia's price-to-book of 18.28 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.49.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Nvidia yields 0.3%.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Nvidia's P/E of 22.0 is below its own 5-year median of 56.1.
P/E below the industry
Nvidia's P/E of 22.0 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.8.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Nvidia's EV/EBITDA of 20.9 is below its 5-year median of 48.2.
P/B above the industry
Nvidia's price-to-book of 18.28 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.49.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $173.73 is below our fair value estimate of $306.55.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 43.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 100% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 207% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 123% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 94.3% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 83.4% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.3%.
Guidance lowered
Nvidia lowered its full year fiscal 2027 tax rates outlook on May 20, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 74.7% over the last twelve months, against 69.8% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 117% over the last twelve months and averaged 75.0% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 114%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Nvidia's return on equity of 117% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 4.8%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 94.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 63.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 42.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Nvidia's net margin of 63.7% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 2.9%.
Financial health6/6
Low debt
Debt is 14.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 41.2% five years ago to 14.6%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 403% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 426.7 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 4.59 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 32.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Nvidia paid dividends worth 0.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Nvidia yields 0.3%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 3.5% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 5.3% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$306.55
The share price is 43% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 45.0× | 56.1× | 34.8× | $355.95 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 30.0× | 48.2× | 21.3× | $250.09 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 14.9% cost of equity | – | – | $17.58 | – |
| Fair value | $306.55 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 56.1
- Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $29.24B
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $15.01B
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 17.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 39%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.44
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 2.04
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +65.5% | +100.0% | +66.9% | +45.7% | |
| Gross profit | +56.8% | +115.4% | +71.3% | +49.2% | |
| Operating income | +60.1% | +213.7% | +95.8% | +67.6% | |
| Net income | +64.7% | +201.8% | +94.3% | +69.5% | |
| EPS, diluted | +66.7% | +206.6% | +95.2% | +68.2% | |
| Free cash flow | +58.9% | +193.9% | – | – | |
| Dividend per share | +17.6% | +35.7% | +20.1% | +15.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 32.6% | 29.8% | 101.5% | |
| Return on assets | 19.4% | 18.8% | 75.4% | |
| Current ratio | 4.77 | 4.09 | 3.91 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.41 | 0.05 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 1.09× | -0.02× | |
| Interest coverage | 33.3× | 24.6× | 503.4× | |
| Inventory turnover | 4.7× | 4.5× | 4.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | 2.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 25.96B | 25.10B | 24.51B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Nvidia generated $209.65B from operations and spent $109.52B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 12% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 55.6% | 1.36× | 1.35× | 101.5% |
| FY2025 | 55.8% | 1.47× | 1.45× | 119.2% |
| FY2024 | 48.8% | 1.14× | 1.64× | 91.5% |
| FY2023 | 16.2% | 0.63× | 1.75× | 17.9% |
| FY2022 | 36.2% | 0.74× | 1.68× | 44.8% |
| FY2021 | 26.0% | 0.72× | 1.58× | 29.8% |
| FY2020 | 25.6% | 0.71× | 1.42× | 26.0% |
| FY2019 | 35.3% | 0.96× | 1.46× | 49.3% |
| FY2018 | 31.4% | 0.92× | 1.59× | 46.1% |
| FY2017 | 24.1% | 0.80× | 1.68× | 32.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$120.07B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$102.72B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year110.9% → 107.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$102.72B vs $120.07B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell7.6% → 3.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose4.44 → 3.91
- No dilutionShare count did not rise24.80B → 24.51B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year74.99% → 71.07%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.99 → 1.93
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