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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) stock analysis

NVDANasdaqSemiconductors & Related DevicesFiscal year ends January 31
Financials through Q2 FY2027, quarter ended Jul 26, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 26, 2026Score 26/3043% below fair value
$173.73+4.84 (+2.87%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.19TP/E 22.0Yield 0.02%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth5Performance6Health6Dividend4

Strong26 of 30 checks passed

Nvidia passes 26 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 43.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $173.73 is below our fair value estimate of $306.55.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 117% over the last twelve months and averaged 75.0% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 114%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • Guidance lowered

    Nvidia lowered its full year fiscal 2027 tax rates outlook on May 20, 2026.

  • P/B above the industry

    Nvidia's price-to-book of 18.28 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.49.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Nvidia yields 0.3%.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Nvidia's P/E of 22.0 is below its own 5-year median of 56.1.

  • P/E below the industry

    Nvidia's P/E of 22.0 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.8.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Nvidia's EV/EBITDA of 20.9 is below its 5-year median of 48.2.

  • P/B above the industry

    Nvidia's price-to-book of 18.28 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.49.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $173.73 is below our fair value estimate of $306.55.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 43.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 100% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 207% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 123% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 94.3% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 83.4% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.3%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Nvidia lowered its full year fiscal 2027 tax rates outlook on May 20, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 74.7% over the last twelve months, against 69.8% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 117% over the last twelve months and averaged 75.0% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 114%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Nvidia's return on equity of 117% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 4.8%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 94.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 63.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 42.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Nvidia's net margin of 63.7% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 2.9%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 14.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 41.2% five years ago to 14.6%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 403% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 426.7 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 4.59 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 32.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Nvidia paid dividends worth 0.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Nvidia yields 0.3%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 3.5% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 5.3% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$306.55

The share price is 43% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$173.73Price$306.55Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E45.0×56.1×34.8×$355.9553%
EV/EBITDA30.0×48.2×21.3×$250.0947%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others14.9% cost of equity––$17.58–
Fair value$306.55100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 56.1
  • Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$29.24B
Value traded per 1% price move
$15.01B

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
17.3%
Volatility (annualized)
39%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.44
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
2.04

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

71.1%+8.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

60.4%+33.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

55.6%+29.6 pts over 5 years

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