StockData
Netflix Inc logo

Netflix Inc (NFLX) stock analysis

NFLXNasdaqServices-Video Tape RentalFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 21, 2026Score 21/3030% below fair value
$62.69−1.85 (-2.87%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $257.43BP/E 18.1Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth6Performance6Health5Dividend0

Solid21 of 30 checks passed

Netflix passes 21 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
6/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 30.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $64.54 is below our fair value estimate of $92.66.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 53.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.0% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 38.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • High debt

    Debt is 51.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • P/E above the industry

    Netflix's P/E of 18.7 is above the Communication services median of 16.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    Netflix's price-to-book of 9.05 is above the Communication services median of 1.71.

  • No dividend

    Netflix has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Netflix's P/E of 18.7 is below its own 5-year median of 42.9.

  • P/E above the industry

    Netflix's P/E of 18.7 is above the Communication services median of 16.8.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Netflix's EV/EBITDA of 17.0 is below its 5-year median of 32.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    Netflix's price-to-book of 9.05 is above the Communication services median of 1.71.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $64.54 is below our fair value estimate of $92.66.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 30.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth6/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 12.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 36.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 41.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 31.8% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 14.7% over the last twelve months; the Communication services median is 8.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    Netflix raised its 2026 FCF outlook on Apr 16, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 50.7% over the last twelve months, against 48.1% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 53.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.0% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 38.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Netflix's return on equity of 53.5% is above the Communication services median of -18.7%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 31.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 29.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Netflix's net margin of 29.7% is above the Communication services median of -2.6%.

Financial health5/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 51.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 147% five years ago to 51.7%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 81.3% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 18.2 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.07 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 8.45; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Netflix has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$92.66

The share price is 30% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$64.54Price$92.66Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E29.9×42.9×16.8×$103.5653%
EV/EBITDA21.1×32.4×9.6×$80.2147%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others11.9% cost of equity––$16.20–
Fair value$92.66100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 42.9
  • Communication services median 16.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$2.84B
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.52B

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
18.4%
Volatility (annualized)
36%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-1.29
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.41

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

48.5%+9.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

29.5%+11.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

24.3%+13.3 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?