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Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) stock analysis

CSCONasdaqComputer Communications EquipmentFiscal year ends July 31
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Jul 25, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Sep 2, 2026Score 16/3054% above fair value
$100.76+2.61 (+2.66%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $397.26BP/E 30.3Yield 1.65%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth3Performance6Health3Dividend4

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Cisco Systems passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 27.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 20.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 30.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.6% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 53.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $100.76 is above our fair value estimate of $65.59.

  • High debt

    Debt is 58.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Cisco Systems's P/E of 30.3 is above its own 5-year median of 20.4.

  • P/E above the industry

    Cisco Systems's P/E of 30.3 is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 26.0.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Cisco Systems's EV/EBITDA of 26.8 is above its 5-year median of 15.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    Cisco Systems's price-to-book of 7.90 is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.71.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $100.76 is above our fair value estimate of $65.59.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 53.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 2.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 30.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.6% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 11.8% over the last twelve months; the Computer and Office Equipment median is 11.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    Cisco Systems raised its fiscal 2026 Revenue outlook on May 13, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 64.5% over the last twelve months, against 64.9% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 27.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 26.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 20.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Cisco Systems's return on equity of 27.3% is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 7.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 21.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Cisco Systems's net margin of 21.0% is above the Computer and Office Equipment median of 3.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 58.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 27.9% five years ago to 58.7%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 48.0% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 10.5 times.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.93 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.87; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Cisco Systems paid dividends worth 1.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Cisco Systems yields 1.7%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 49.4% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 51.3% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$65.59

The share price is 54% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$100.76Price$65.59Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E23.1×20.4×26.0×$77.0844%
EV/EBITDA17.9×15.8×19.9×$65.8039%
Earnings power9.1% cost of equity––$34.4517%
Fair value$65.59100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 20.4
  • Computer and Office Equipment median 26.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.92B
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.20B

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.6%
Volatility (annualized)
37%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.96
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.85

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

64.5%+0.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

24.3%−1.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

21.0%−0.3 pts over 5 years

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