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3M Co (MMM) stock analysis

MMMNYSESurgical & Medical Instruments & ApparatusFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 20, 2026Score 14/3020% above fair value
$188.88−0.49 (-0.26%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $97.60BP/E 28.1Yield 1.55%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance5Health4Dividend3

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

3M passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 80.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 36.4% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 28.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 4.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -9.8% a year.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.5 times.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 20.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $188.88 is above our fair value estimate of $156.77.

  • High debt

    Debt is 363% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 9.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    3M's P/E of 28.1 is above its own 5-year median of 18.2.

  • P/E above the industry

    3M's P/E of 28.1 is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 27.7.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    3M's EV/EBITDA of 17.5 is above its 5-year median of 13.6.

  • P/B above the industry

    3M's price-to-book of 23.65 is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 3.22.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $188.88 is above our fair value estimate of $156.77.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 20.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -16.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 4.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -9.8% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 1.7% over the last twelve months; the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median is 11.0%.

  • Guidance raised

    3M raised its full-year 2026 Adjusted total sales growth outlook on Jul 21, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 39.5% over the last twelve months, against 40.9% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 80.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 36.4% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 28.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    3M's return on equity of 80.8% is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of -31.3%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 9.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 14.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.1%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    3M's net margin of 14.0% is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of -14.1%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 363% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 146% five years ago to 363%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.2% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 5.5 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.41 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.29; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    3M paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; 3M yields 1.6%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 45.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 59.9% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$156.77

The share price is 20% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$188.88Price$156.77Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E22.9×18.2×27.7×$153.6353%
EV/EBITDA15.1×13.6×16.7×$160.3547%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others9.9% cost of equity––$46.18–
Fair value$156.77100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 18.2
  • Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median 27.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$622.64M
Value traded per 1% price move
$457.39M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.0%
Volatility (annualized)
28%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.30
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.01

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

39.9%−8.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

18.6%−3.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

13.0%−3.9 pts over 5 years

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