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Baxter International Inc (BAX) stock analysis

BAXNYSESurgical & Medical Instruments & ApparatusFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 9/306% above fair value
$26.34−0.08 (-0.30%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $13.63BP/E –Yield 1.97%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth1Performance2Health4Dividend1

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Baxter International passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 13.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 194% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Baxter International raised its full-year Adjusted earnings from continuing operations per diluted share outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • P/B below the industry

    Baxter International's price-to-book of 2.10 is below the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 3.22.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 6.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $26.34 is above our fair value estimate of $24.81.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -10.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -0.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -3.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Baxter International's EV/EBITDA of 17.0 is above its 5-year median of 16.3.

  • P/B below the industry

    Baxter International's price-to-book of 2.10 is below the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of 3.22.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $26.34 is above our fair value estimate of $24.81.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 6.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 5.3% over the last twelve months; the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median is 11.0%.

  • Guidance raised

    Baxter International raised its full-year Adjusted earnings from continuing operations per diluted share outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 30.1% over the last twelve months, against 34.1% a year earlier.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -10.5% over the last twelve months and averaged -0.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -3.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Baxter International's return on equity of -10.5% is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of -31.3%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -6.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Baxter International's net margin of -6.2% is above the Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median of -14.1%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 13.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 71.3% five years ago to 13.0%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 194% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -0.8 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.79 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.40; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Baxter International paid dividends worth 0.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Baxter International yields 0.2%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$24.81

The share price is 6% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$26.34Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA16.5×16.3×16.7×$25.5458%
P/B2.8×2.4×3.2×$35.4717%
Earnings power8.9% cost of equity––$15.9925%
Fair value$24.81100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 27.9
  • Surgical, Medical, and Dental Instruments and Supplies median 27.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$171.73M
Value traded per 1% price move
$100.71M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.6%
Volatility (annualized)
42%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.04
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.80

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

30.1%−9.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

-2.7%−16.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-8.5%−18.0 pts over 5 years

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