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Miller Industries Inc (MLR) stock analysis

MLRNYSETruck & Bus BodiesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 8/3068% above fair value
$48.90+0.80 (+1.66%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $555.12MP/E 32.4Yield 1.64%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth0Performance1Health3Dividend4

Weak8 of 30 checks passed

Miller Industries passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 3883% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.33; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 8.8% of free cash flow.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 54.7% of net income.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 68.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $48.90 is above our fair value estimate of $29.10.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 5.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Miller Industries's P/E of 32.4 is above its own 5-year median of 14.6.

  • P/E above the industry

    Miller Industries's P/E of 32.4 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 18.7.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Miller Industries's EV/EBITDA of 12.3 is above its 5-year median of 7.6.

  • P/S above the industry

    Miller Industries's price-to-sales of 0.69 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 0.67 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $48.90 is above our fair value estimate of $29.10.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 68.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -42.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -5.1% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -4.2% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.

  • Guidance unchanged

    The latest outlook (full year 2026 revenue guidance, Aug 5, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 14.6% over the last twelve months, against 15.2% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 5.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 2.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Miller Industries's net margin of 2.2% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.

Financial health3/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 3883% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.50 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.33; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Miller Industries paid dividends worth 1.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Miller Industries yields 1.7%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 54.7% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 8.8% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$29.10

The share price is 68% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$48.90Price$29.10Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E16.6×14.6×18.7×$25.1244%
EV/EBITDA8.0×7.6×8.5×$33.7439%
Earnings power8.8% cost of equity––$28.9017%
Fair value$29.10100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 14.6
  • Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 18.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$3.88M
Value traded per 1% price move
$3.43M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
7.9%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.75
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.79

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

15.2%+3.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

–

Net margin

2.9%−1.7 pts over 5 years

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