Markel Group Inc. (MKL) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $24.00BP/E 14.2Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak4 of 30 checks passed
Markel passes 4 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 20.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 12.1 times.
P/B below the industry
Markel's price-to-book of 1.30 is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.62.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 2.6%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 7.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $1973.38 is above our fair value estimate of $1839.63.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 9.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Markel's P/E of 14.3 is above its own 5-year median of 10.3.
P/E above the industry
Markel's P/E of 14.3 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 10.4.
P/S above the industry
Markel's price-to-sales of 1.53 is above the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.28.
P/B below the industry
Markel's price-to-book of 1.30 is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 1.62.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $1973.38 is above our fair value estimate of $1839.63.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 7.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 9.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -13.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.9% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 3.3% over the last twelve months; the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median is 5.0%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 2.6%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity below the industry
Markel's return on equity of 9.8% is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 15.9%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 20.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 11.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.6%.
Net margin below the industry
Markel's net margin of 11.4% is below the Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median of 12.0%.
Financial health1/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 12.1 times.
Short-term liquidity
Insurers do not split assets into current and non-current.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
The Altman model does not apply to insurers.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Markel has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$1,839.63
The share price is 7% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.3× | 10.3× | 10.4× | $1,430.84 | 50% |
| P/B | 1.5× | 1.4× | 1.6× | $2,248.41 | 50% |
| Fair value | $1,839.63 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 10.3
- Fire, Marine, and Casualty Insurance median 10.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $129.94M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $150.78M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 9.6%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 19%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.46
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.55
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.7% | +9.9% | +9.8% | +11.2% | |
| Operating income | -13.9% | – | +20.2% | +14.0% | |
| Net income | -23.3% | – | +20.9% | +13.7% | |
| EPS, diluted | -15.1% | – | +24.9% | +15.0% | |
| Free cash flow | +9.2% | +1.3% | +9.3% | +16.2% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.9% | |
| Return on assets | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | |
| Interest coverage | 6.2× | 7.2× | 15.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 14M | 14M | 13M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Markel generated $13.13B from operations and spent $3.07B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 37% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 13.6% | 0.24× | 3.68× | 11.9% |
| FY2024 | 18.5% | 0.25× | 3.67× | 17.2% |
| FY2023 | 14.0% | 0.27× | 3.73× | 14.2% |
| FY2022 | -1.9% | 0.24× | 3.53× | -1.6% |
| FY2021 | 18.9% | 0.28× | 3.28× | 17.6% |
| FY2020 | 8.4% | 0.25× | 3.32× | 6.8% |
| FY2019 | 18.8% | 0.27× | 3.51× | 17.8% |
| FY2018 | -1.9% | 0.21× | 3.56× | -1.4% |
| FY2017 | 6.5% | 0.21× | 3.27× | 4.4% |
| FY2016 | 8.1% | 0.22× | 3.12× | 5.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$2.11B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.76B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year5.0% → 3.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.76B vs $2.11B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise13M → 13M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.27 → 0.25
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