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Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) stock analysis

MGNYSEServices-Engineering ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 2, 2026Score 9/3025% above fair value
$20.18+0.01 (+0.05%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $642.73MP/E 32.0Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth4Performance1Health3Dividend0

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Mistras passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 36.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 35.4% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Mistras raised its full-year revenue outlook on Aug 10, 2026.

  • P/B below the industry

    Mistras's price-to-book of 2.59 is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 2.71.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 25.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $20.18 is above our fair value estimate of $16.15.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 2.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Mistras's P/E of 32.0 is above its own 5-year median of 28.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Mistras's P/E of 32.0 is above the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 25.2.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Mistras's EV/EBITDA of 12.0 is above its 5-year median of 8.3.

  • P/B below the industry

    Mistras's price-to-book of 2.59 is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 2.71.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $20.18 is above our fair value estimate of $16.15.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 25.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 36.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 4.6% over the last twelve months; the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median is 0.2%.

  • Guidance raised

    Mistras raised its full-year revenue outlook on Aug 10, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 28.7% over the last twelve months, against 27.8% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 2.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Mistras's return on equity of 8.8% is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 10.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 2.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 0.8%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Mistras's net margin of 2.8% is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 5.1%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 70.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 112% five years ago to 70.0%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 35.4% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.2 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.74 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.86; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Mistras has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$16.15

The share price is 25% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$20.18Price$16.15Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E27.0×28.8×25.2×$17.0440%
EV/EBITDA11.8×8.3×15.3×$19.6835%
P/B2.0×1.3×2.7×$15.6210%
Earnings power8.3% cost of equity––$5.8715%
Fair value$16.15100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 28.8
  • Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median 25.2

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$7.65M
Value traded per 1% price move
$4.62M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.8%
Volatility (annualized)
38%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.30
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.68

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025

Gross margin

28.2%−1.9 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

5.6%+22.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

2.3%+19.1 pts over 5 years

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