Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $642.73MP/E 32.0Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed9 of 30 checks passed
Mistras passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 36.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 35.4% of total debt.
Guidance raised
Mistras raised its full-year revenue outlook on Aug 10, 2026.
P/B below the industry
Mistras's price-to-book of 2.59 is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 2.71.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 25.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $20.18 is above our fair value estimate of $16.15.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 8.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 2.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Mistras's P/E of 32.0 is above its own 5-year median of 28.8.
P/E above the industry
Mistras's P/E of 32.0 is above the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 25.2.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Mistras's EV/EBITDA of 12.0 is above its 5-year median of 8.3.
P/B below the industry
Mistras's price-to-book of 2.59 is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 2.71.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $20.18 is above our fair value estimate of $16.15.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 25.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 36.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 4.6% over the last twelve months; the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median is 0.2%.
Guidance raised
Mistras raised its full-year revenue outlook on Aug 10, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 28.7% over the last twelve months, against 27.8% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 8.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 2.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Mistras's return on equity of 8.8% is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 10.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 0.8%.
Net margin below the industry
Mistras's net margin of 2.8% is below the Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median of 5.1%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 70.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 112% five years ago to 70.0%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 35.4% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.2 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.74 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.86; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Mistras has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$16.15
The share price is 25% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.0× | 28.8× | 25.2× | $17.04 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.8× | 8.3× | 15.3× | $19.68 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.0× | 1.3× | 2.7× | $15.62 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.3% cost of equity | – | – | $5.87 | 15% |
| Fair value | $16.15 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 28.8
- Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management, and Related Services median 25.2
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $7.65M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $4.62M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 15.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 38%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.30
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.68
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -0.8% | +1.7% | +4.1% | +0.2% | |
| Gross profit | +6.4% | +1.1% | +2.8% | +1.0% | |
| Operating income | +1.9% | +27.0% | – | +2.9% | |
| Net income | -11.2% | +37.3% | – | +0.5% | |
| EPS, diluted | -11.7% | +36.2% | – | -0.2% | |
| Free cash flow | -74.2% | -15.6% | -30.8% | -13.3% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2015 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 6.6% | -41.2% | 7.8% | |
| Return on assets | 3.5% | -15.3% | 3.1% | |
| Current ratio | 1.83 | 1.48 | 1.74 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.46 | 1.12 | 0.76 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.62× | -2.97× | 2.10× | |
| Interest coverage | 6.6× | -7.8× | 2.8× | |
| Inventory turnover | 47.4× | 31.2× | 36.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | |
| Diluted shares | 30M | 29M | 32M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Mistras generated $178.53M from operations and spent $94.18M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2.3% | 1.31× | 2.54× | 7.8% |
| FY2024 | 2.6% | 1.38× | 2.72× | 9.8% |
| FY2023 | -2.5% | 1.32× | 2.75× | -9.0% |
| FY2022 | 0.9% | 1.25× | 2.75× | 3.3% |
| FY2021 | 0.6% | 1.18× | 2.88× | 1.9% |
| FY2020 | -16.8% | 0.91× | 2.70× | -41.2% |
| FY2019 | 0.8% | 1.06× | 2.54× | 2.2% |
| FY2016 | 3.4% | 1.51× | 1.83× | 9.5% |
| FY2015 | 2.3% | 1.55× | 1.88× | 6.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$16.84M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$32.98M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.5% → 3.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$32.98M vs $16.84M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell30.2% → 28.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.50 → 1.74
- No dilutionShare count did not rise32M → 32M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year26.34% → 28.25%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.36 → 1.38
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