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ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) stock analysis

MANNYSEServices-Help Supply ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 8/3015% below fair value
$46.11+0.09 (+0.20%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.14BP/E –Yield 3.12%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth1Performance0Health3Dividend1

Weak8 of 30 checks passed

ManpowerGroup passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $46.11 is below our fair value estimate of $54.00.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.30; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    ManpowerGroup's EV/EBITDA of 7.8 is below its 5-year median of 8.6.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 14.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 51.6% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    ManpowerGroup's EV/EBITDA of 7.8 is below its 5-year median of 8.6.

  • P/B below the industry

    ManpowerGroup's price-to-book of 1.00 is below the Personnel Supply Services median of 1.99.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $46.11 is below our fair value estimate of $54.00.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 14.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.3% over the last twelve months; the Personnel Supply Services median is 2.1%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (fourth quarter effective tax rate, Oct 15, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 16.1% over the last twelve months, against 16.9% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 51.6% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 46.0% five years ago to 51.6%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 3.8% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.05 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.30; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    ManpowerGroup paid dividends worth 3.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; ManpowerGroup yields 3.1%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$54.00

The share price is 15% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$46.11Price$54.00Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA9.1×8.6×9.6×$56.9658%
P/B1.8×1.6×2.0×$82.2017%
Earnings power9.3% cost of equity––$28.3125%
Fair value$54.00100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Personnel Supply Services median 22.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$46.78M
Value traded per 1% price move
$22.57M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
23.7%
Volatility (annualized)
62%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.01
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.88

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

16.7%+1.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

0.8%−0.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

–

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