ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $2.14BP/E –Yield 3.12%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak8 of 30 checks passed
ManpowerGroup passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $46.11 is below our fair value estimate of $54.00.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.30; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
ManpowerGroup's EV/EBITDA of 7.8 is below its 5-year median of 8.6.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 5.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 51.6% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -3.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation3/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
ManpowerGroup's EV/EBITDA of 7.8 is below its 5-year median of 8.6.
P/B below the industry
ManpowerGroup's price-to-book of 1.00 is below the Personnel Supply Services median of 1.99.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $46.11 is below our fair value estimate of $54.00.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -3.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 7.3% over the last twelve months; the Personnel Supply Services median is 2.1%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (fourth quarter effective tax rate, Oct 15, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 16.1% over the last twelve months, against 16.9% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 5.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 51.6% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 46.0% five years ago to 51.6%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 3.8% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.05 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.30; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
ManpowerGroup paid dividends worth 3.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; ManpowerGroup yields 3.1%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$54.00
The share price is 15% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 9.1× | 8.6× | 9.6× | $56.96 | 58% |
| P/B | 1.8× | 1.6× | 2.0× | $82.20 | 17% |
| Earnings power | 9.3% cost of equity | – | – | $28.31 | 25% |
| Fair value | $54.00 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Personnel Supply Services median 22.6
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $46.78M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $22.57M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 23.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 62%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.01
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.88
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +0.6% | -3.2% | -0.0% | -0.7% | |
| Gross profit | -2.9% | -5.7% | +1.2% | -0.9% | |
| Operating income | -50.9% | -36.3% | -4.4% | -14.1% | |
| Dividend per share | -53.2% | -19.1% | -8.6% | -1.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 17.8% | – | – | |
| Return on assets | 5.9% | – | – | |
| Current ratio | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.11 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.35 | 0.46 | 0.81 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 0.27× | -1.68× | 3.41× | |
| Interest coverage | 15.1× | 4.3× | -1.6× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 71M | 58M | 47M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
ManpowerGroup generated $1.83B from operations and spent $1.80B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 18% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2018 | 2.5% | 2.53× | 3.22× | 20.6% |
| FY2017 | 2.6% | 2.56× | 3.20× | 21.2% |
| FY2016 | 2.3% | 2.60× | 3.03× | 17.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero-$104.10M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income-$104.10M vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell11.3% → 11.5%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.12 → 1.11
- No dilutionShare count did not rise48M → 47M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year17.29% → 16.69%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose2.02 → 2.19
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