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Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS) stock analysis

KGSNYSENatural Gas TransmissionFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 9, 2026Score 11/3022% below fair value
$44.69+0.29 (+0.65%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $4.52BP/E 26.1Yield 4.03%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth4Performance0Health2Dividend1

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Kodiak Gas Services passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 21.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $44.69 is below our fair value estimate of $57.10.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 22.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 20.4% of total debt.

What to watch

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -20.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.35; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • P/E above the industry

    Kodiak Gas Services's P/E of 26.1 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 17.4.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 112% of net income, leaving little room.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Kodiak Gas Services's P/E of 26.1 is below its own 5-year median of 60.9.

  • P/E above the industry

    Kodiak Gas Services's P/E of 26.1 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 17.4.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Kodiak Gas Services's EV/EBITDA of 9.6 is below its 5-year median of 9.9.

  • P/S above the industry

    Kodiak Gas Services's price-to-sales of 3.07 is above the Gas Production and Distribution median of 2.71 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $44.69 is below our fair value estimate of $57.10.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 21.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 22.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -20.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 14.5% over the last twelve months; the Gas Production and Distribution median is 13.6%.

  • Guidance raised

    Kodiak Gas Services raised its full year 2026 Other Services revenue outlook on Nov 9, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 64.0% over the last twelve months, against 62.8% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.5%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Kodiak Gas Services's net margin of 11.3% is below the Gas Production and Distribution median of 13.1%.

Financial health2/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 20.4% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.31 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.35; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Kodiak Gas Services paid dividends worth 3.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.3% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Kodiak Gas Services yields 3.3%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 112% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$57.10

The share price is 22% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$44.69Price$57.10Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E32.2×60.9×17.4×$55.0353%
EV/EBITDA11.5×9.9×12.4×$59.4747%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others9.0% cost of equity––$17.32–
Fair value$57.10100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 60.9
  • Gas Production and Distribution median 17.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$99.73M
Value traded per 1% price move
$39.37M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
22.3%
Volatility (annualized)
45%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.57
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.79

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2020 to 2025

Gross margin

63.3%

Operating margin

26.0%

Net margin

6.2%

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