Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) stock analysis
Close on Nov 10, 2026Market cap $18.39BP/E 53.3Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak8 of 30 checks passed
Jacobs Solutions passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 20.6% of total debt.
Guidance raised
Jacobs Solutions raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin outlook on Aug 4, 2026.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 25.1% of free cash flow.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 47.8% of net income.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 69.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $157.11 is above our fair value estimate of $92.96.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Jacobs Solutions's P/E of 53.3 is above its own 5-year median of 30.8.
P/E above the industry
Jacobs Solutions's P/E of 53.3 is above the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 28.1.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Jacobs Solutions's EV/EBITDA of 28.2 is above its 5-year median of 25.0.
P/B above the industry
Jacobs Solutions's price-to-book of 5.63 is above the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 5.11.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $157.11 is above our fair value estimate of $92.96.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 69.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -21.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -31.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -10.1% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 20.1% over the last twelve months; the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median is 5.2%.
Guidance raised
Jacobs Solutions raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin outlook on Aug 4, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 22.1% over the last twelve months, against 25.0% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 9.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.7%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Jacobs Solutions's return on equity of 9.6% is below the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 14.8%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 10.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.1%.
Net margin above the industry
Jacobs Solutions's net margin of 2.4% is above the Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median of 1.6%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 110% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 28.8% five years ago to 110%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 20.6% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.29 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.92; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Jacobs Solutions paid dividends worth 0.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Jacobs Solutions yields 0.9%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 47.8% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 25.1% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$92.96
The share price is 69% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 29.5× | 30.8× | 28.1× | $86.94 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 19.5× | 25.0× | 13.9× | $102.07 | 35% |
| P/B | 4.0× | 2.8× | 5.1× | $110.49 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 9.1% cost of equity | – | – | $76.05 | 15% |
| Fair value | $92.96 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 30.8
- Heavy Construction Other Than Building Construction Contractors median 28.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $139.92M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $95.57M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 12.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 34%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.06
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.85
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.6% | +7.1% | -2.4% | -0.1% | |
| Gross profit | +5.4% | +5.0% | +2.9% | – | |
| Operating income | +24.7% | +17.0% | +10.0% | +6.8% | |
| Net income | -64.1% | -23.4% | -10.1% | -0.5% | |
| EPS, diluted | -62.3% | -21.8% | -8.5% | -0.1% | |
| Free cash flow | -34.9% | +20.5% | -2.5% | +4.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 4.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | |
| Return on assets | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | |
| Current ratio | 1.61 | 1.54 | 1.30 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.09 | 0.29 | 0.61 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -0.64× | 1.30× | 1.06× | |
| Interest coverage | 22.2× | 8.6× | 5.9× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 121M | 133M | 122M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Jacobs Solutions generated $3.92B from operations and spent $3.19B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 18% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2.4% | 1.05× | 2.81× | 7.1% |
| FY2024 | 7.0% | 0.87× | 2.38× | 14.5% |
| FY2023 | 6.1% | 0.74× | 2.32× | 10.6% |
| FY2022 | 6.6% | 0.67× | 2.44× | 10.7% |
| FY2021 | 3.4% | 1.04× | 2.30× | 8.1% |
| FY2020 | 3.6% | 1.14× | 2.07× | 8.5% |
| FY2019 | 6.7% | 1.06× | 2.08× | 14.7% |
| FY2018 | 1.5% | 1.06× | 1.95× | 3.2% |
| FY2017 | 4.6% | 0.86× | 1.70× | 6.8% |
| FY2016 | 1.9% | 1.45× | 1.77× | 4.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$289.34M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$686.70M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year5.5% → 2.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$686.70M vs $289.34M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell11.5% → 19.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.20 → 1.30
- No dilutionShare count did not rise126M → 122M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year24.63% → 24.81%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.79 → 1.02
See a number that looks wrong?