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Itron, Inc. (ITRI) stock analysis

ITRINasdaqInstruments For Meas & Testing of Electricity & Elec SignalsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 27, 2026Score 16/3034% below fair value
$98.50−1.08 (-1.08%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $4.32BP/E 15.9Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth2Performance4Health4Dividend0

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Itron passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 33.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $98.50 is below our fair value estimate of $149.03.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 13.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 13.8 times.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 16.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 92.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.32; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Itron's P/E of 15.9 is below its own 5-year median of 22.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    Itron's P/E of 15.9 is below the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 36.5.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Itron's EV/EBITDA of 13.1 is below its 5-year median of 18.0.

  • P/B below the industry

    Itron's price-to-book of 2.54 is below the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 3.17.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $98.50 is below our fair value estimate of $149.03.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 33.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 9.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -3.6% over the last twelve months; the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median is 8.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    Itron raised its full year 2026 Non-GAAP diluted EPS outlook on Jul 28, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 40.7% over the last twelve months, against 36.3% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 16.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 13.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Itron's return on equity of 16.5% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of 1.1%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 12.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Itron's net margin of 12.1% is above the Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median of -1.3%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 92.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 113% five years ago to 92.8%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 25.0% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 13.8 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.83 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.32; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Itron has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$149.03

The share price is 34% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$98.50Price$149.03Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E29.2×22.0×36.5×$180.7840%
EV/EBITDA20.9×18.0×23.7×$167.1735%
P/B2.9×2.6×3.2×$111.8010%
Earnings power11.2% cost of equity––$46.8815%
Fair value$149.03100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 22.0
  • Laboratory Apparatus and Analytical, Optical, Measuring, and Controlling Instruments median 36.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$65.07M
Value traded per 1% price move
$39.31M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.2%
Volatility (annualized)
42%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.16
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.26

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

37.7%+10.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

13.2%+13.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

12.7%+15.4 pts over 5 years

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