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Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) stock analysis

IRDMNasdaqCommunications Services, NECFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 20, 2026Score 14/3024% above fair value
$47.29+1.16 (+2.51%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.02BP/E 31.3Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance4Health4Dividend3

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Iridium Communications passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 30.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • No debt

    Iridium Communications has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 147% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 23.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $47.29 is above our fair value estimate of $38.24.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 31.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Iridium Communications's P/E of 31.3 is below its own 5-year median of 38.0.

  • P/E above the industry

    Iridium Communications's P/E of 31.3 is above the Communications median of 14.4.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Iridium Communications's EV/EBITDA of 12.5 is above its 5-year median of 11.3.

  • P/B above the industry

    Iridium Communications's price-to-book of 8.70 is above the Communications median of 2.59.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $47.29 is above our fair value estimate of $38.24.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 23.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 147% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 3.6% over the last twelve months; the Communications median is 3.0%.

  • Guidance unchanged

    The latest outlook (full-year 2026 OEBITDA, Apr 23, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 31.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 30.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Iridium Communications's return on equity of 31.7% is above the Communications median of -3.1%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 18.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.7%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Iridium Communications's net margin of 18.1% is above the Communications median of -10.4%.

Financial health4/6
  • No debt

    Iridium Communications has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.91 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.54; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Iridium Communications paid dividends worth 1.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Iridium Communications yields 1.3%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 39.8% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 23.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$38.24

The share price is 24% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$47.29Price$38.24Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E26.3×38.0×14.4×$39.6944%
EV/EBITDA10.3×11.3×9.4×$39.2639%
Earnings power8.3% cost of equity––$31.9817%
Fair value$38.24100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 38.0
  • Communications median 14.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$39.39M
Value traded per 1% price move
$28.91M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.0%
Volatility (annualized)
60%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
3.04
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.69

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

27.1%+21.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

13.1%+22.7 pts over 5 years

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