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GATX Corp (GATX) stock analysis

GATXNYSETransportation ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 18/3010% below fair value
$189.30+1.63 (+0.87%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $6.61BP/E 17.5Yield 1.29%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth5Performance4Health4Dividend2

Solid18 of 30 checks passed

GATX passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $189.30 is below our fair value estimate of $211.03.

  • No debt

    GATX has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 17.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 11.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 10.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.71; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    GATX's EV/EBITDA of 7.1 is above its 5-year median of 5.0.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    GATX's P/E of 17.5 is below its own 5-year median of 19.9.

  • P/E below the industry

    GATX's P/E of 17.5 is below the Transportation Services median of 19.3.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    GATX's EV/EBITDA of 7.1 is above its 5-year median of 5.0.

  • P/B above the industry

    GATX's price-to-book of 2.37 is above the Transportation Services median of 1.95.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $189.30 is below our fair value estimate of $211.03.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 10.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 11.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 28.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 25.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 29.7% over the last twelve months; the Transportation Services median is 9.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    GATX raised its 2026 full-year earnings estimate outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    GATX's return on equity of 14.2% is above the Transportation Services median of 3.8%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 17.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 17.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    GATX's net margin of 17.7% is above the Transportation Services median of 1.0%.

Financial health4/6
  • No debt

    GATX has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.71; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    GATX paid dividends worth 1.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.4% yield is below the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; GATX yields 1.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 6 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$211.03

The share price is 10% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$189.30Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.6×19.9×19.3×$211.6640%
EV/EBITDA8.5×5.0×12.0×$251.4735%
P/B2.0×2.1×2.0×$160.8610%
Earnings power8.9% cost of equity––$148.4415%
Fair value$211.03100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.9
  • Transportation Services median 19.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$36.76M
Value traded per 1% price move
$31.85M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.5%
Volatility (annualized)
25%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.68
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.78

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

19.2%+6.6 pts over 5 years

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