GATX Corp (GATX) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $6.61BP/E 17.5Yield 1.29%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works
Solid18 of 30 checks passed
GATX passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $189.30 is below our fair value estimate of $211.03.
No debt
GATX has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 17.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 10.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 14.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.71; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
GATX's EV/EBITDA of 7.1 is above its 5-year median of 5.0.
Valuation3/6
P/E below its 5-year median
GATX's P/E of 17.5 is below its own 5-year median of 19.9.
P/E below the industry
GATX's P/E of 17.5 is below the Transportation Services median of 19.3.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
GATX's EV/EBITDA of 7.1 is above its 5-year median of 5.0.
P/B above the industry
GATX's price-to-book of 2.37 is above the Transportation Services median of 1.95.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $189.30 is below our fair value estimate of $211.03.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 10.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 11.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 28.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 25.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.1% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 29.7% over the last twelve months; the Transportation Services median is 9.5%.
Guidance raised
GATX raised its 2026 full-year earnings estimate outlook on Jul 30, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 14.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
GATX's return on equity of 14.2% is above the Transportation Services median of 3.8%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 17.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 17.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.8%.
Net margin above the industry
GATX's net margin of 17.7% is above the Transportation Services median of 1.0%.
Financial health4/6
No debt
GATX has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.71; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
GATX paid dividends worth 1.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.4% yield is below the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; GATX yields 1.4%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 6 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$211.03
The share price is 10% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.6× | 19.9× | 19.3× | $211.66 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.5× | 5.0× | 12.0× | $251.47 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.0× | 2.1× | 2.0× | $160.86 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.9% cost of equity | – | – | $148.44 | 15% |
| Fair value | $211.03 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 19.9
- Transportation Services median 19.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $36.76M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $31.85M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 14.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 25%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.68
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.78
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +9.8% | +11.0% | +7.6% | +1.8% | |
| Net income | +17.3% | +28.8% | +17.1% | +5.0% | |
| EPS, diluted | +17.2% | +28.0% | +16.4% | +6.9% | |
| Dividend per share | +5.2% | – | – | +4.8% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 19.6% | 8.0% | 12.8% | |
| Return on assets | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | |
| Capex to revenue | 42.0% | 71.2% | – | |
| Diluted shares | 41M | 35M | 36M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
GATX does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 19.2% | 0.11× | 5.84× | 12.8% |
| FY2024 | 17.9% | 0.13× | 5.01× | 12.1% |
| FY2023 | 18.4% | 0.13× | 4.97× | 12.0% |
| FY2022 | 12.2% | 0.13× | 4.84× | 7.7% |
| FY2021 | 11.4% | 0.14× | 4.65× | 7.2% |
| FY2020 | 12.5% | 0.14× | 4.46× | 8.0% |
| FY2019 | 17.6% | 0.16× | 4.23× | 11.7% |
| FY2018 | 18.0% | 0.16× | 4.12× | 11.8% |
| FY2017 | 36.5% | 0.19× | 4.63× | 32.0% |
| FY2016 | 18.1% | 0.20× | 5.33× | 19.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$333.30M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$648.10M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.5% → 2.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$648.10M vs $333.30M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise36M → 36M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.14 → 0.14
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