Ero Copper Corp. (ERO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $3.10BP/E 11.8Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed14 of 30 checks passed
Ero Copper passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 14 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 34.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 25.4% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 16.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 38.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 22.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
High debt
Debt is 64.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
No dividend
Ero Copper has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 22.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 32.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 67.1% over the last twelve months; the Materials median is 11.1%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (2026 Total capital expenditures, Mar 5, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 43.9% over the last twelve months, against 38.4% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 34.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 25.4% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 16.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Ero Copper's return on equity of 34.6% is above the Materials median of -14.7%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 38.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 33.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.1%.
Net margin above the industry
Ero Copper's net margin of 33.6% is above the Materials median of -6.1%.
Financial health4/6
High debt
Debt is 64.9% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 79.0% five years ago to 64.9%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 65.1% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 8.1 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.06 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Ero Copper has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Ero Copper. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $46.33M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $16.42M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 24.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 64%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.56
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.38
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +67.1% | +22.6% | +19.4% | – | |
| Gross profit | +90.9% | +22.6% | +12.9% | – | |
| Operating income | +148.4% | +27.8% | +12.4% | – | |
| Net income | – | +37.3% | +38.6% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | – | +32.0% | +35.2% | – | |
| Free cash flow | – | – | +24.0% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
7 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 34.6% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 15.6% | |
| Current ratio | – | 1.39 | 1.06 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.79 | 0.65 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 0.55× | 1.30× | |
| Interest coverage | – | 9.8× | 8.1× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 5.9× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 36.3% | 33.4% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 92M | 104M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Ero Copper generated $1.21B from operations and spent $1.49B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 33.6% | 0.46× | 2.22× | 34.6% |
| FY2024 | -14.6% | 0.32× | 2.13× | -9.8% |
| FY2023 | 21.7% | 0.32× | 2.01× | 13.8% |
| FY2022 | 23.9% | 0.45× | 2.02× | 21.9% |
| FY2021 | 41.0% | 0.83× | 1.96× | 66.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$263.72M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$395.14M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-4.5% → 18.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$395.14M vs $263.72M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell38.2% → 28.7%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.67 → 1.06
- No dilutionShare count did not rise103M → 104M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year38.39% → 43.85%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.31 → 0.54
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