Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.74BP/E 42.9Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed12 of 30 checks passed
Enphase Energy passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 22.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $28.30 is below our fair value estimate of $36.28.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 5.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 24.0 times.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 8.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 6.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 46.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -14.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Enphase Energy's P/E of 42.9 is below its own 5-year median of 54.9.
P/E above the industry
Enphase Energy's P/E of 42.9 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.8.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Enphase Energy's EV/EBITDA of 25.6 is below its 5-year median of 39.7.
P/B below the industry
Enphase Energy's price-to-book of 3.01 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.49.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $28.30 is below our fair value estimate of $36.28.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 22.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -14.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -22.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -53.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.1% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -19.9% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.3%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (fourth quarter of 2026 Revenue, Oct 27, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 45.8% over the last twelve months, against 48.5% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 8.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 34.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 6.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Enphase Energy's return on equity of 8.1% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 4.8%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 5.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 7.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.2%.
Net margin above the industry
Enphase Energy's net margin of 7.5% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 2.9%.
Financial health4/6
High debt
Debt is 46.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 68.4% five years ago to 46.1%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 33.3% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 24.0 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 4.09 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.37; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Enphase Energy has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$36.28
The share price is 22% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 44.9× | 54.9× | 34.8× | $29.65 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 30.0× | 39.7× | 21.3× | $32.71 | 35% |
| P/B | 9.6× | 15.5× | 3.5× | $89.71 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 11.3% cost of equity | – | – | $26.67 | 15% |
| Fair value | $36.28 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 54.9
- Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $213.70M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $66.86M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 31.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 83%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.22
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.29
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +10.7% | -14.2% | +13.7% | +15.2% | |
| Gross profit | +9.2% | -11.0% | +14.7% | +20.3% | |
| Operating income | +103.8% | -29.4% | -3.3% | – | |
| Net income | +67.7% | -24.3% | +5.1% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +72.0% | -22.5% | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | -80.0% | -48.4% | -13.3% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -315.6% | 35.4% | 17.9% | |
| Return on assets | -41.0% | 14.0% | 5.1% | |
| Current ratio | 1.42 | 1.75 | 2.07 | |
| Debt to equity | 18.31 | 0.68 | 1.11 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -0.12× | -1.70× | 3.07× | |
| Interest coverage | -22.6× | 8.9× | 34.8× | |
| Inventory turnover | 7.3× | 11.6× | 3.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 51M | 142M | 135M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Enphase Energy generated $2.44B from operations and spent $1.71B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 17% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 11.7% | 0.44× | 3.52× | 17.9% |
| FY2024 | 7.7% | 0.40× | 3.65× | 11.3% |
| FY2023 | 19.2% | 0.71× | 3.57× | 48.5% |
| FY2022 | 17.0% | 0.90× | 4.11× | 63.3% |
| FY2021 | 10.5% | 0.84× | 3.59× | 31.8% |
| FY2020 | 17.3% | 0.81× | 2.53× | 35.4% |
| FY2019 | 25.8% | 1.19× | 3.76× | 115.1% |
| FY2018 | -3.7% | 1.24× | -377.10× | 1722.5% |
| FY2017 | -15.8% | 1.72× | -42.52× | 1154.9% |
| FY2016 | -20.9% | 1.96× | 7.70× | -315.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$172.13M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$136.54M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.0% → 5.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$136.54M vs $172.13M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell37.0% → 16.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.53 → 2.07
- No dilutionShare count did not rise140M → 135M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year47.29% → 46.64%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.39 → 0.45
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