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Eastman Chemical Co (EMN) stock analysis

EMNNYSEPlastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan ElastomersFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 16/3030% below fair value
$65.03−0.58 (-0.88%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $7.44BP/E 12.0Yield 5.12%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth1Performance2Health2Dividend6

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Eastman Chemical passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
6/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 29.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $65.03 is below our fair value estimate of $92.79.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Eastman Chemical's P/E of 12.0 is below its own 5-year median of 13.3.

  • P/E below the industry

    Eastman Chemical's P/E of 12.0 is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 25.2.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 83.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 0.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -6.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Eastman Chemical's P/E of 12.0 is below its own 5-year median of 13.3.

  • P/E below the industry

    Eastman Chemical's P/E of 12.0 is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 25.2.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Eastman Chemical's price-to-book of 1.19 is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 1.50.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $65.03 is below our fair value estimate of $92.79.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 29.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -6.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -13.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -13.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.2% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 0.3% over the last twelve months; the Chemicals and Allied Products median is 5.7%.

  • Guidance raised

    Eastman Chemical raised its full-year 2026 operating cash flow outlook on Jul 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 20.6% over the last twelve months, against 22.8% a year earlier.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Eastman Chemical's return on equity of 10.4% is above the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 3.7%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 0.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 6.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.1%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Eastman Chemical's net margin of 6.9% is above the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 0.8%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 83.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 93.3% five years ago to 83.1%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 16.8% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.57 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.13; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend6/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Eastman Chemical paid dividends worth 5.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 5.2% yield is above the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Eastman Chemical yields 5.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 61.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 81.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$92.79

The share price is 30% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$65.03Price$92.79Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E19.2×13.3×25.2×$104.6462%
P/B1.8×2.1×1.5×$97.5515%
Earnings power10.6% cost of equity––$58.0223%
Fair value$92.79100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 13.3
  • Chemicals and Allied Products median 25.2

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$92.26M
Value traded per 1% price move
$60.80M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.4%
Volatility (annualized)
32%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.06
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.10

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

21.1%−2.2 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

–

Net margin

5.4%−0.2 pts over 5 years

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