Ecolab Inc. (ECL) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $86.34BP/E 41.9Yield 0.87%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid16 of 30 checks passed
Ecolab passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 20.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.5% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 12.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 24.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 7.4 times.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 27.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $307.86 is above our fair value estimate of $241.95.
High debt
Debt is 127% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 4.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Ecolab's P/E of 41.9 is above its own 5-year median of 41.1.
P/E above the industry
Ecolab's P/E of 41.9 is above the Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median of 29.9.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Ecolab's EV/EBITDA of 34.1 is above its 5-year median of 33.6.
P/B above the industry
Ecolab's price-to-book of 8.28 is above the Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median of 4.86.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $307.86 is above our fair value estimate of $241.95.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 27.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 4.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 24.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 9.3% over the last twelve months; the Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median is 5.9%.
Guidance raised
Ecolab raised its second half of the year Organic sales growth outlook on Jul 28, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 43.9% over the last twelve months, against 44.3% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 20.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 19.5% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 12.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Ecolab's return on equity of 20.7% is above the Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median of -1.2%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 12.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 10.4%.
Net margin above the industry
Ecolab's net margin of 12.0% is above the Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median of 0.2%.
Financial health4/6
High debt
Debt is 127% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 108% five years ago to 127%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 23.0% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 7.4 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.11 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.02; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Ecolab paid dividends worth 0.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Ecolab yields 0.9%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 39.3% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 45.6% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$241.95
The share price is 27% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 35.5× | 41.1× | 29.9× | $261.14 | 47% |
| EV/EBITDA | 25.8× | 33.6× | 17.9× | $222.39 | 41% |
| P/B | 6.3× | 7.7× | 4.9× | $233.65 | 12% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 9.6% cost of equity | – | – | $66.24 | – |
| Fair value | $241.95 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 41.1
- Soap, Detergents, and Cleaning Preparations; Perfumes, Cosmetics, and Other Toilet Preparations median 29.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $453.34M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $409.63M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 13.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 22%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.68
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.95
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +2.2% | +4.3% | +6.4% | +1.7% | |
| Gross profit | +4.5% | +10.1% | +7.9% | +1.2% | |
| Operating income | -2.3% | +20.6% | +14.4% | +5.8% | |
| Net income | -1.7% | +23.9% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -1.2% | +24.1% | – | +8.2% | |
| Free cash flow | +4.7% | +21.0% | +6.8% | +4.5% | |
| Dividend per share | +13.6% | +9.2% | +7.2% | +7.2% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | – | 22.4% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 8.8% | |
| Current ratio | 1.42 | 1.75 | 1.08 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.97 | 1.08 | 0.84 | |
| Interest coverage | 6.6× | 4.6× | 8.9× | |
| Inventory turnover | 5.6× | 5.8× | 6.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | |
| Diluted shares | 297M | 290M | 285M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Ecolab generated $12.03B from operations and spent $9.79B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 43% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 12.9% | 0.68× | 2.54× | 22.4% |
| FY2024 | 13.4% | 0.71× | 2.63× | 25.1% |
| FY2023 | 9.0% | 0.71× | 2.83× | 18.0% |
| FY2022 | 7.7% | 0.66× | 2.95× | 15.1% |
| FY2021 | 8.9% | 0.65× | 2.94× | 16.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$2.08B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.95B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.7% → 9.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.95B vs $2.08B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell31.0% → 29.8%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.26 → 1.08
- No dilutionShare count did not rise287M → 285M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year43.46% → 44.46%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.72 → 0.72
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