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Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) stock analysis

CXTNYSEMiscellaneous Fabricated Metal ProductsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 11/304% above fair value
$57.97−0.55 (-0.94%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.34BP/E 26.2Yield 1.17%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance2Health4Dividend2

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Crane NXT passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 15.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 17.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 126% of total debt.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 31.9% of net income.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $57.97 is above our fair value estimate of $55.63.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 20.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 4.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Crane NXT's P/E of 26.2 is above its own 5-year median of 18.7.

  • P/E above the industry

    Crane NXT's P/E of 26.2 is above the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 22.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Crane NXT's EV/EBITDA of 8.9 is below its 5-year median of 9.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    Crane NXT's price-to-book of 2.58 is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 2.80.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $57.97 is above our fair value estimate of $55.63.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.2% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -11.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -17.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -4.3% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 17.5% over the last twelve months; the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median is 11.5%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Crane NXT lowered its Full Year 2026 Corporate Expense outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 41.2% over the last twelve months, against 43.2% a year earlier.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 20.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 15.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Crane NXT's return on equity of 10.2% is above the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 9.0%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 4.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 6.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.6%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Crane NXT's net margin of 6.9% is below the Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median of 7.8%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 17.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 133% five years ago to 17.9%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 126% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.31 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 1.87; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Crane NXT paid dividends worth 1.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Crane NXT yields 1.2%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 9 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 31.9% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$55.63

The share price is 4% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$57.97Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E20.5×18.7×22.3×$45.2840%
EV/EBITDA11.0×9.4×12.6×$71.7235%
P/B3.1×3.4×2.8×$69.5310%
Earnings power9.7% cost of equity––$36.4615%
Fair value$55.63100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 18.7
  • Fabricated Metal Products, except Machinery and Transportation Equipment median 22.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$38.31M
Value traded per 1% price move
$16.30M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.1%
Volatility (annualized)
39%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.30
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.97

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

42.5%+9.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

14.9%+5.9 pts over 5 years

Net margin

8.8%+2.6 pts over 5 years

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