CVS HEALTH Corp (CVS) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $114.49BP/E 10.4Yield 2.97%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid19 of 30 checks passed
Cvs Health passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 6/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 30.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $89.52 is below our fair value estimate of $129.23.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 2253% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -24.4% a year.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 14.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 75.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 24.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation6/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Cvs Health's P/E of 10.4 is below its own 5-year median of 18.0.
P/E below the industry
Cvs Health's P/E of 10.4 is below the Miscellaneous Retail median of 17.9.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Cvs Health's EV/EBITDA of 8.2 is below its 5-year median of 10.3.
P/B below the industry
Cvs Health's price-to-book of 1.42 is below the Miscellaneous Retail median of 2.05.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $89.52 is below our fair value estimate of $129.23.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 30.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -24.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 2253% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -24.4% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 6.7% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Retail median is 5.9%.
Guidance raised
Cvs Health raised its 2026 Projected Total revenues outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 44.2% over the last twelve months, against 44.8% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 14.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Cvs Health's return on equity of 14.4% is above the Miscellaneous Retail median of -3.2%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 24.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.6%.
Net margin above the industry
Cvs Health's net margin of 2.6% is above the Miscellaneous Retail median of -0.3%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 75.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 93.2% five years ago to 75.4%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 30.8% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 4.9 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.85 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.51; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Cvs Health paid dividends worth 2.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Cvs Health yields 2.2%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 31.0% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 22.0% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$129.23
The share price is 31% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.0× | 18.0× | 17.9× | $154.10 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.5× | 10.3× | 10.8× | $125.71 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.3× | 2.1× | $106.00 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $86.62 | 15% |
| Fair value | $129.23 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 18.0
- Miscellaneous Retail median 17.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $939.10M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $553.54M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 13.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 34%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.32
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.50
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +7.8% | +7.6% | +8.4% | +10.1% | |
| Gross profit | +8.6% | +12.9% | +11.6% | +21.2% | |
| Operating income | -45.3% | -16.3% | -19.6% | -6.9% | |
| Net income | -61.7% | -25.7% | -24.4% | -10.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | -62.0% | -24.7% | -23.9% | -11.3% | |
| Free cash flow | +23.4% | -16.6% | -10.3% | +2.4% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +6.5% | +5.9% | +6.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 14.4% | 10.8% | 2.3% | |
| Return on assets | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | |
| Current ratio | 1.18 | 0.91 | 0.84 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.75 | 0.93 | 0.86 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.87× | 2.92× | 6.06× | |
| Interest coverage | 9.6× | 4.8× | 1.5× | |
| Inventory turnover | 10.3× | 9.1× | 11.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 1.08B | 1.31B | 1.27B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Cvs Health generated $67.61B from operations and spent $37.86B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 37% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 0.4% | 1.59× | 3.36× | 2.3% |
| FY2024 | 1.2% | 1.48× | 3.31× | 6.1% |
| FY2023 | 2.3% | 1.50× | 3.23× | 11.3% |
| FY2022 | 1.3% | 1.40× | 3.15× | 5.9% |
| FY2021 | 2.7% | 1.26× | 3.21× | 11.1% |
| FY2020 | 2.7% | 1.19× | 3.40× | 10.8% |
| FY2019 | 2.6% | 1.23× | 3.43× | 10.9% |
| FY2018 | -0.3% | 1.33× | 3.04× | -1.2% |
| FY2017 | 3.6% | 1.95× | 2.54× | 17.8% |
| FY2016 | 3.0% | 1.90× | 2.52× | 14.4% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.77B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$10.64B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.8% → 0.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$10.64B vs $1.77B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell23.9% → 23.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.81 → 0.84
- No dilutionShare count did not rise1.26B → 1.27B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year44.67% → 44.99%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.49 → 1.59
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