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CVS HEALTH Corp (CVS) stock analysis

CVSNYSERetail-Drug Stores and Proprietary StoresFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 19/3031% below fair value
$89.52+0.51 (+0.57%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $114.49BP/E 10.4Yield 2.97%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth3Performance4Health2Dividend4

Solid19 of 30 checks passed

Cvs Health passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 30.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $89.52 is below our fair value estimate of $129.23.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 2253% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -24.4% a year.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 75.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 24.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Cvs Health's P/E of 10.4 is below its own 5-year median of 18.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    Cvs Health's P/E of 10.4 is below the Miscellaneous Retail median of 17.9.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Cvs Health's EV/EBITDA of 8.2 is below its 5-year median of 10.3.

  • P/B below the industry

    Cvs Health's price-to-book of 1.42 is below the Miscellaneous Retail median of 2.05.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $89.52 is below our fair value estimate of $129.23.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 30.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -24.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 2253% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -24.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 6.7% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Retail median is 5.9%.

  • Guidance raised

    Cvs Health raised its 2026 Projected Total revenues outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 44.2% over the last twelve months, against 44.8% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.3% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Cvs Health's return on equity of 14.4% is above the Miscellaneous Retail median of -3.2%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 24.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 2.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Cvs Health's net margin of 2.6% is above the Miscellaneous Retail median of -0.3%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 75.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 93.2% five years ago to 75.4%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 30.8% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.85 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.51; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Cvs Health paid dividends worth 2.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Cvs Health yields 2.2%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 31.0% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 22.0% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$129.23

The share price is 31% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$89.52Price$129.23Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E18.0×18.0×17.9×$154.1040%
EV/EBITDA10.5×10.3×10.8×$125.7135%
P/B1.7×1.3×2.1×$106.0010%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$86.6215%
Fair value$129.23100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 18.0
  • Miscellaneous Retail median 17.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$939.10M
Value traded per 1% price move
$553.54M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.1%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.32
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.50

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

45.0%+6.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

1.2%−4.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

0.4%−2.2 pts over 5 years

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