CECO Environmental Corp (CECO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 10, 2026Market cap $3.04BP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
CECO Environmental passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Low debt
Debt is 28.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 43.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 22.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 39.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 1274% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $51.83 is above our fair value estimate of $3.77.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -2.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -0.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation1/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
CECO Environmental's EV/EBITDA of 82.2 is above its 5-year median of 17.9.
P/B below the industry
CECO Environmental's price-to-book of 1.46 is below the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 2.84.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $51.83 is above our fair value estimate of $3.77.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 1274% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 22.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 39.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -166% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 43.6% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 54.5% over the last twelve months; the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median is 12.4%.
Guidance raised
CECO Environmental raised its full year consolidated 2026 Revenue outlook on Aug 10, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 32.1% over the last twelve months, against 34.9% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -2.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was -0.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
CECO Environmental's return on equity of -2.9% is below the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 9.9%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 43.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was -3.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.1%.
Net margin below the industry
CECO Environmental's net margin of -3.1% is below the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 8.0%.
Financial health4/6
Low debt
Debt is 28.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 35.8% five years ago to 28.8%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 21.9% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense -0.1 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.29 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
CECO Environmental has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$3.77
The share price is 1274% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 18.1× | 17.9× | 18.3× | $4.39 | 70% |
| P/Bleft out, too far from the others | 3.0× | 3.1× | 2.8× | $104.97 | – |
| Earnings power | 10.0% cost of equity | – | – | $2.33 | 30% |
| Fair value | $3.77 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 54.0
- General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median 26.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $74.60M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $16.00M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 33.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 74%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.10
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.03
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +38.8% | +22.4% | +19.6% | +7.7% | |
| Gross profit | +37.3% | +28.1% | +20.7% | +9.4% | |
| Operating income | +199.0% | +68.4% | +51.3% | +35.8% | |
| Net income | +286.3% | +42.2% | +43.6% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +280.6% | +39.9% | +42.9% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -17.8% | 4.2% | 17.7% | |
| Return on assets | -7.0% | 2.0% | 6.1% | |
| Current ratio | 1.46 | 1.68 | 1.34 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.65 | 0.36 | 0.67 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -11.29× | 1.57× | 1.37× | |
| Interest coverage | -3.3× | 3.8× | 5.1× | |
| Inventory turnover | 10.5× | 11.1× | 10.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| Diluted shares | 34M | 36M | 37M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
CECO Environmental generated $118.28M from operations and spent $60.12M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 72% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 6.5% | 0.94× | 2.93× | 17.7% |
| FY2024 | 2.3% | 0.82× | 2.83× | 5.4% |
| FY2023 | 2.4% | 0.99× | 2.48× | 5.8% |
| FY2022 | 4.1% | 0.92× | 2.20× | 8.3% |
| FY2021 | 0.4% | 0.78× | 2.05× | 0.7% |
| FY2020 | 2.6% | 0.76× | 2.09× | 4.2% |
| FY2019 | 5.2% | 0.85× | 2.16× | 9.5% |
| FY2018 | -2.1% | 0.81× | 2.28× | -3.9% |
| FY2017 | -0.9% | 0.74× | 2.49× | -1.6% |
| FY2016 | -9.2% | 0.76× | 2.56× | -17.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$50.05M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$5.86M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.2% → 6.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$5.86M vs $50.05M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell28.6% → 23.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.35 → 1.34
- No dilutionShare count did not rise36M → 37M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year35.16% → 34.77%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.93 → 1.02
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