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CECO Environmental Corp (CECO) stock analysis

CECOTXSEIndustrial & Commercial Fans & Blowers & Air Purifing EquipFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 9, 2026Score 10/301274% above fair value
$51.83−0.17 (-0.33%)

Close on Nov 10, 2026Market cap $3.04BP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth4Performance1Health4Dividend0

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

CECO Environmental passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 28.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 43.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 22.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 39.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 1274% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $51.83 is above our fair value estimate of $3.77.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -2.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -0.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    CECO Environmental's EV/EBITDA of 82.2 is above its 5-year median of 17.9.

  • P/B below the industry

    CECO Environmental's price-to-book of 1.46 is below the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 2.84.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $51.83 is above our fair value estimate of $3.77.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 1274% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 22.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 39.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -166% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 43.6% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 54.5% over the last twelve months; the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median is 12.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    CECO Environmental raised its full year consolidated 2026 Revenue outlook on Aug 10, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 32.1% over the last twelve months, against 34.9% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -2.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.6% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -0.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    CECO Environmental's return on equity of -2.9% is below the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 9.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 43.6% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -3.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.1%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    CECO Environmental's net margin of -3.1% is below the General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median of 8.0%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 28.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 35.8% five years ago to 28.8%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 21.9% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -0.1 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.29 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    CECO Environmental has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$3.77

The share price is 1274% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$51.83Price$3.77Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA18.1×17.9×18.3×$4.3970%
P/Bleft out, too far from the others3.0×3.1×2.8×$104.97–
Earnings power10.0% cost of equity––$2.3330%
Fair value$3.77100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 54.0
  • General Industrial Machinery and Equipment median 26.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$74.60M
Value traded per 1% price move
$16.00M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
33.9%
Volatility (annualized)
74%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.10
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.03

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

34.8%+1.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

13.7%+9.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.5%+3.9 pts over 5 years

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