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BlueLinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) stock analysis

BXCNYSEWholesale-Lumber, Plywood, Millwork & Wood PanelsFiscal year ends January 2
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jul 4, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 3, 2026Score 7/3039% below fair value
$63.32−0.10 (-0.16%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $497.71MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth0Performance0Health4Dividend0

Weak7 of 30 checks passed

BlueLinx passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 38.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $63.32 is below our fair value estimate of $103.22.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 25.0% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.31; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -0.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 43.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 4.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 47.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 69.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    BlueLinx's EV/EBITDA of 6.1 is above its 5-year median of 3.9.

  • P/B below the industry

    BlueLinx's price-to-book of 0.80 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.15.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $63.32 is below our fair value estimate of $103.22.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 38.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -12.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -91.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -107% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -69.3% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 2.1% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 8.4%.

  • Guidance lowered

    BlueLinx lowered its fourth quarter 2026 structural product gross margin outlook on Nov 3, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 15.8% over the last twelve months, against 15.9% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -0.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 43.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 4.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    BlueLinx's return on equity of -0.3% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 7.6%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 69.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -0.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.4%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    BlueLinx's net margin of -0.1% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 1.9%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 47.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 546% five years ago to 47.8%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 25.0% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 0.7 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 4.01 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.31; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    BlueLinx has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$103.22

The share price is 39% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$63.32Price$103.22Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA8.4×3.9×12.9×$86.2658%
P/B1.7×1.2×2.1×$133.4217%
Earnings power12.4% cost of equity––$122.6725%
Fair value$103.22100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.1
  • Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 20.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$13.18M
Value traded per 1% price move
$4.73M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
32.3%
Volatility (annualized)
69%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.02
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.50

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

15.3%−0.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

1.1%−3.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

0.0%−2.6 pts over 5 years

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