Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. (AXSM) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $7.42BP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Weak8 of 30 checks passed
Axsome Therapeutics passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 15 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 134% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 54.2% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 7.7%.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -176% over the last twelve months and averaged -229% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 178% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -43.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
P/B above the industry
Axsome Therapeutics's price-to-book of 70.39 is above the Drugs median of 2.09.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Axsome Therapeutics's price-to-book of 70.39 is above the Drugs median of 2.09.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 134% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 54.2% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 7.7%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 93.2% over the last twelve months, against 91.9% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -176% over the last twelve months and averaged -229% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Axsome Therapeutics's return on equity of -176% is below the Drugs median of -57.0%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was -18.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -141%.
Net margin above the industry
Axsome Therapeutics's net margin of -18.2% is above the Drugs median of -53.5%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 178% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 42.5% five years ago to 178%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals -43.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.42 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Axsome Therapeutics has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for Axsome Therapeutics. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- EV/EBITDA at month end
- Drugs median 17.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $161.94M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $70.43M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 24.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 46%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.09
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.51
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2013 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +65.5% | +133.7% | – | – | |
| Gross profit | +67.7% | +136.2% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -80.0% | -70.4% | -252.1% | |
| Return on assets | -62.3% | -50.6% | -29.1% | |
| Current ratio | 5.30 | 7.85 | 1.55 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.45 | 0.42 | 2.13 | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | 10.5× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | 2.2× | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | 0.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 19M | 37M | 50M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Axsome Therapeutics generated $591.63M from operations and spent $2.34M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | -28.7% | 1.01× | 8.66× | -252.1% |
| FY2024 | -74.5% | 0.67× | 4.66× | -231.6% |
| FY2023 | -88.4% | 0.59× | 3.06× | -159.2% |
| FY2022 | -374.0% | 0.24× | 3.35× | -299.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$183.17M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero-$93.41M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-48.8% → -32.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income-$93.41M vs -$183.17M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell31.8% → 17.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.11 → 1.55
- No dilutionShare count did not rise48M → 50M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year91.37% → 92.56%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.66 → 1.12
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