Alkermes plc. (ALKS) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $7.89BP/E 123.8Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Weak5 of 30 checks passed
Alkermes passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Guidance raised
Alkermes raised its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA outlook on Feb 25, 2026.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 10.8% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 7.7%.
Return on equity above the industry
Alkermes's return on equity of 3.9% is above the Drugs median of -57.0%.
Net margin above the industry
Alkermes's net margin of 4.0% is above the Drugs median of -53.5%.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 214% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $47.03 is above our fair value estimate of $14.98.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Alkermes's P/E of 123.8 is above its own 5-year median of 15.9.
P/E above the industry
Alkermes's P/E of 123.8 is above the Drugs median of 25.0.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Alkermes's EV/EBITDA of 48.8 is above its 5-year median of 12.7.
P/B above the industry
Alkermes's price-to-book of 4.36 is above the Drugs median of 2.09.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $47.03 is above our fair value estimate of $14.98.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 214% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 9.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 10.8% over the last twelve months; the Drugs median is 7.7%.
Guidance raised
Alkermes raised its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA outlook on Feb 25, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 84.6% over the last twelve months, against 85.1% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Alkermes's return on equity of 3.9% is above the Drugs median of -57.0%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 4.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.6%.
Net margin above the industry
Alkermes's net margin of 4.0% is above the Drugs median of -53.5%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 83.1% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 25.8% five years ago to 83.1%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 16.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 2.0 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.30 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.28; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Alkermes has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$14.98
The share price is 214% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 20.4× | 15.9× | 25.0× | $7.75 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.1× | 12.7× | 17.4× | $11.02 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.9× | 3.6× | 2.1× | $30.90 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.6% cost of equity | – | – | $32.88 | 15% |
| Fair value | $14.98 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 15.9
- Drugs median 25.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $81.56M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $53.89M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 17.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 40%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.14
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.41
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -5.2% | +9.9% | +7.3% | +8.9% | |
| Gross profit | -2.5% | +12.7% | +8.3% | +10.1% | |
| Operating income | -39.6% | – | – | – | |
| Net income | -34.2% | – | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -34.1% | – | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | +18.4% | – | +63.9% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -16.5% | -10.3% | 14.7% | |
| Return on assets | -11.6% | -5.9% | 10.6% | |
| Current ratio | 3.73 | 2.53 | 3.55 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.00 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -0.85× | -0.07× | -1.38× | |
| Interest coverage | -14.0× | -13.0× | 20.7× | |
| Inventory turnover | 2.6× | 1.6× | 1.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 151M | 159M | 169M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Alkermes generated $1.48B from operations and spent $388.51M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 48% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 16.4% | 0.65× | 1.38× | 14.7% |
| FY2024 | 23.6% | 0.74× | 1.57× | 27.5% |
| FY2023 | 21.4% | 0.81× | 1.83× | 31.7% |
| FY2022 | -14.2% | 0.56× | 1.85× | -14.7% |
| FY2021 | -4.1% | 0.59× | 1.82× | -4.4% |
| FY2020 | -10.7% | 0.55× | 1.74× | -10.3% |
| FY2019 | -16.8% | 0.65× | 1.61× | -17.4% |
| FY2018 | -12.7% | 0.60× | 1.53× | -11.7% |
| FY2017 | -17.5% | 0.51× | 1.46× | -13.1% |
| FY2016 | -28.0% | 0.42× | 1.42× | -16.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$241.66M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$520.75M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year17.2% → 11.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$520.75M vs $241.66M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → 0.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.04 → 3.55
- No dilutionShare count did not rise169M → 169M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year84.25% → 86.69%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.73 → 0.72
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