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AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) stock analysis

ASIXNYSEPlastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan ElastomersFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 10/3056% below fair value
$15.74+0.31 (+2.01%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $425.00MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth1Performance1Health3Dividend2

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

AdvanSix passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 56.4% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $15.43 is below our fair value estimate of $35.40.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 34.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 1.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -2.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -7.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -32.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -143% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.4% a year.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    AdvanSix's price-to-book of 0.53 is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 1.50.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $15.43 is below our fair value estimate of $35.40.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 56.4% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -7.9% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -32.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -143% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.4% over the last twelve months; the Chemicals and Allied Products median is 5.7%.

  • Guidance lowered

    AdvanSix lowered its 2026 pre-tax income impact of plant turnarounds outlook on Aug 7, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 4.5% over the last twelve months, against 10.0% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -2.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    AdvanSix's return on equity of -2.8% is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 3.7%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 1.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -1.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.4%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    AdvanSix's net margin of -1.4% is below the Chemicals and Allied Products median of 0.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 34.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.6% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.20 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 1.82; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    AdvanSix paid dividends worth 4.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 4.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; AdvanSix yields 4.1%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Not covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 446% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$35.40

The share price is 56% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$15.43Price$35.40Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/B1.2×0.9×1.5×$35.2929%
P/S1.0×0.5×1.5×$60.2129%
Earnings power9.6% cost of equity––$18.9443%
Fair value$35.40100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 8.3
  • Chemicals and Allied Products median 25.2

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$4.31M
Value traded per 1% price move
$2.71M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.8%
Volatility (annualized)
50%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.19
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.94

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2014 to 2025

Gross margin

10.8%−0.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

3.2%−0.7 pts over 5 years

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