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Aon plc (AON) stock analysis

AONNYSEInsurance Agents, Brokers & ServiceFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 28, 2026Score 19/3027% below fair value
$336.55+0.21 (+0.06%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $71.40BP/E 18.4Yield 0.86%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth3Performance6Health2Dividend4

Solid19 of 30 checks passed

Aon passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $336.55 is below our fair value estimate of $462.67.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 43.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 294% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • High debt

    Debt is 278% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 12.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • P/S above the industry

    Aon's price-to-sales of 4.04 is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 3.43.

  • P/B above the industry

    Aon's price-to-book of 7.07 is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 4.81.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Aon's P/E of 18.4 is below its own 5-year median of 27.2.

  • P/E below the industry

    Aon's P/E of 18.4 is below the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 30.1.

  • P/S above the industry

    Aon's price-to-sales of 4.04 is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 3.43.

  • P/B above the industry

    Aon's price-to-book of 7.07 is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 4.81.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $336.55 is below our fair value estimate of $462.67.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 11.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 11.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 44.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.4% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 3.8% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median is 13.8%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (full year 2026 favorable impact on adjusted EPS from foreign currency translation, Jul 29, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 43.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 294% over five years.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 6.7%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Aon's return on equity of 43.6% is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 9.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 13.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 22.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.7%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Aon's net margin of 22.2% is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 4.9%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 278% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 221% five years ago to 278%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 12.7% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 6.2 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.58 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    The Altman model does not apply to insurers.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Aon paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Aon yields 0.5%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 17.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 20.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$462.67

The share price is 27% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$336.55Price$462.67Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E28.7×27.2×30.1×$523.3850%
P/B8.4×12.0×4.8×$401.9650%
Fair value$462.67100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 27.2
  • Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median 30.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$482.95M
Value traded per 1% price move
$313.42M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
18.7%
Volatility (annualized)
29%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.23
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.56

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

25.3%+0.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

21.5%+3.7 pts over 5 years

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