Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $71.07BP/E 42.4Yield 0.94%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
Arthur J. Gallagher passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $282.01 is below our fair value estimate of $330.34.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 12.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.0% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 7.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
High debt
Debt is 53.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation2/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Arthur J. Gallagher's P/E of 43.1 is above its own 5-year median of 42.9.
P/E above the industry
Arthur J. Gallagher's P/E of 43.1 is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 30.1.
P/S above the industry
Arthur J. Gallagher's price-to-sales of 4.42 is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 3.43.
P/B below the industry
Arthur J. Gallagher's price-to-book of 3.01 is below the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 4.81.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $282.01 is below our fair value estimate of $330.34.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 17.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 6.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.8% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 25.6% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median is 13.8%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 7.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 2.1%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity below the industry
Arthur J. Gallagher's return on equity of 7.2% is below the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 9.3%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 12.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 10.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.4%.
Net margin above the industry
Arthur J. Gallagher's net margin of 10.4% is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 4.9%.
Financial health3/6
High debt
Debt is 53.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 70.2% five years ago to 53.0%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.0% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.05 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
The Altman model does not apply to insurers.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Arthur J. Gallagher paid dividends worth 1.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Arthur J. Gallagher yields 1.0%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 41.6% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$330.34
The share price is 15% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 36.5× | 42.9× | 30.1× | $238.97 | 50% |
| P/B | 4.5× | 4.2× | 4.8× | $421.72 | 50% |
| Fair value | $330.34 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 42.9
- Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median 30.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $451.76M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $226.20M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 17.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 32%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.25
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.58
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +20.7% | +17.7% | +14.8% | +10.0% | |
| Net income | +2.1% | +10.3% | +12.8% | +15.4% | |
| EPS, diluted | -11.7% | +3.4% | +6.4% | +10.8% | |
| Dividend per share | +8.3% | +8.4% | +7.6% | +5.8% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 11.0% | 14.4% | 6.9% | |
| Return on assets | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | |
| Current ratio | 0.96 | 1.10 | 1.06 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.76 | 0.70 | 0.55 | |
| Diluted shares | 178M | 191M | 256M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Arthur J. Gallagher does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 10.7% | 0.21× | 3.10× | 6.9% |
| FY2024 | 12.7% | 0.20× | 3.75× | 9.5% |
| FY2023 | 9.6% | 0.22× | 4.52× | 9.7% |
| FY2022 | 13.0% | 0.24× | 4.06× | 12.6% |
| FY2021 | 11.0% | 0.30× | 3.78× | 12.3% |
| FY2020 | 11.7% | 0.33× | 3.70× | 14.4% |
| FY2019 | 9.3% | 0.40× | 3.73× | 13.9% |
| FY2018 | 9.1% | 0.44× | 3.58× | 14.5% |
| FY2017 | 7.7% | 0.44× | 3.63× | 12.3% |
| FY2016 | 7.0% | 0.46× | 3.38× | 11.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.49B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.93B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.8% → 2.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.93B vs $1.49B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell19.8% → 17.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.51 → 1.06
- No dilutionShare count did not rise221M → 256M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.22 → 0.22
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