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Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) stock analysis

AJGNYSEInsurance Agents, Brokers & ServiceFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 13/3015% below fair value
$277.28−4.73 (-1.68%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $71.07BP/E 42.4Yield 0.94%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth2Performance3Health3Dividend3

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Arthur J. Gallagher passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $282.01 is below our fair value estimate of $330.34.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 12.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 17.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.0% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 14.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 53.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Arthur J. Gallagher's P/E of 43.1 is above its own 5-year median of 42.9.

  • P/E above the industry

    Arthur J. Gallagher's P/E of 43.1 is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 30.1.

  • P/S above the industry

    Arthur J. Gallagher's price-to-sales of 4.42 is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 3.43.

  • P/B below the industry

    Arthur J. Gallagher's price-to-book of 3.01 is below the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 4.81.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $282.01 is below our fair value estimate of $330.34.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 14.6% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 17.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 6.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.8% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 25.6% over the last twelve months; the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median is 13.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 2.1%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Arthur J. Gallagher's return on equity of 7.2% is below the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 9.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 12.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 10.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.4%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Arthur J. Gallagher's net margin of 10.4% is above the Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median of 4.9%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 53.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 70.2% five years ago to 53.0%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 24.0% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.05 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    The Altman model does not apply to insurers.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Arthur J. Gallagher paid dividends worth 1.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Arthur J. Gallagher yields 1.0%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 41.6% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$330.34

The share price is 15% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$282.01Price$330.34Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E36.5×42.9×30.1×$238.9750%
P/B4.5×4.2×4.8×$421.7250%
Fair value$330.34100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 42.9
  • Insurance Agents, Brokers, and Service median 30.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$451.76M
Value traded per 1% price move
$226.20M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
17.3%
Volatility (annualized)
32%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.25
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.58

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Net margin

10.7%−1.0 pts over 5 years

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