StockData
AutoNation, Inc. logo

AutoNation, Inc. (AN) stock analysis

ANNYSERetail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline StationsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 12/3022% below fair value
$187.21+3.07 (+1.67%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.99BP/E 9.0Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth0Performance4Health4Dividend0

Mixed12 of 30 checks passed

AutoNation passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 21.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $187.21 is below our fair value estimate of $239.43.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 30.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 43.2% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 37.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -11.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 8.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.2% a year.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    AutoNation's P/E of 9.0 is above its own 5-year median of 7.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    AutoNation's P/E of 9.0 is below the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 12.5.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    AutoNation's EV/EBITDA of 5.1 is below its 5-year median of 5.9.

  • P/B above the industry

    AutoNation's price-to-book of 2.64 is above the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 2.37.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $187.21 is below our fair value estimate of $239.43.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 21.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 0.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -11.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 8.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.2% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -1.8% over the last twelve months; the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median is 1.5%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 17.7% over the last twelve months, against 17.8% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 30.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 43.2% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 37.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    AutoNation's return on equity of 30.2% is above the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 12.4%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 11.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 2.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.8%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    AutoNation's net margin of 2.6% is below the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 2.6%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 24.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 65.0% five years ago to 24.5%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 56.0% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 6.4 times.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.77 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    AutoNation has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$239.43

The share price is 22% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$187.21Price$239.43Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E10.1×7.7×12.5×$210.0253%
EV/EBITDA7.3×5.9×8.7×$273.0447%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others8.8% cost of equity––$12.09–
Fair value$239.43100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 7.7
  • Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median 12.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$100.56M
Value traded per 1% price move
$55.09M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
23.3%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.22
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.79

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

17.9%+0.4 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

4.5%+1.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

2.3%+0.5 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?