AutoNation, Inc. (AN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $5.99BP/E 9.0Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed12 of 30 checks passed
AutoNation passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 21.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $187.21 is below our fair value estimate of $239.43.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 30.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 43.2% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 37.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -11.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 8.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.2% a year.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation4/6
P/E above its 5-year median
AutoNation's P/E of 9.0 is above its own 5-year median of 7.7.
P/E below the industry
AutoNation's P/E of 9.0 is below the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 12.5.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
AutoNation's EV/EBITDA of 5.1 is below its 5-year median of 5.9.
P/B above the industry
AutoNation's price-to-book of 2.64 is above the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 2.37.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $187.21 is below our fair value estimate of $239.43.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 21.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -11.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 8.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.2% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -1.8% over the last twelve months; the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median is 1.5%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 17.7% over the last twelve months, against 17.8% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 30.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 43.2% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 37.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
AutoNation's return on equity of 30.2% is above the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 12.4%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 11.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.8%.
Net margin below the industry
AutoNation's net margin of 2.6% is below the Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median of 2.6%.
Financial health4/6
Low debt
Debt is 24.5% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 65.0% five years ago to 24.5%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 56.0% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 6.4 times.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.77 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
AutoNation has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$239.43
The share price is 22% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.1× | 7.7× | 12.5× | $210.02 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.3× | 5.9× | 8.7× | $273.04 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 8.8% cost of equity | – | – | $12.09 | – |
| Fair value | $239.43 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 7.7
- Retail-auto dealers & gasoline stations median 12.5
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $100.56M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $55.09M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 23.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 34%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.22
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.79
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +3.2% | +0.8% | +6.3% | +2.9% | |
| Gross profit | +3.4% | -2.0% | +6.8% | +4.3% | |
| Operating income | -5.0% | -15.1% | +17.1% | +3.6% | |
| Net income | -6.2% | -22.2% | +11.2% | +3.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | +0.7% | -11.1% | +31.7% | +15.9% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 18.5% | 11.9% | 27.1% | |
| Return on assets | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | |
| Current ratio | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.84 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.18 | 0.65 | 1.70 | |
| Interest coverage | 7.7× | 6.0× | 6.9× | |
| Inventory turnover | 5.1× | 5.7× | 6.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 104M | 89M | 38M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
AutoNation generated $4.45B from operations and spent $7.74B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 21% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2.3% | 2.02× | 5.71× | 27.1% |
| FY2024 | 2.6% | 2.14× | 5.35× | 29.7% |
| FY2023 | 3.8% | 2.45× | 5.17× | 47.9% |
| FY2022 | 5.1% | 2.84× | 4.29× | 62.3% |
| FY2021 | 5.3% | 2.74× | 3.36× | 48.9% |
| FY2020 | 1.9% | 2.00× | 3.19× | 11.9% |
| FY2019 | 2.1% | 2.01× | 3.61× | 15.3% |
| FY2018 | 1.8% | 2.05× | 4.12× | 15.6% |
| FY2017 | 2.0% | 2.12× | 4.34× | 18.6% |
| FY2016 | 2.0% | 2.20× | 4.21× | 18.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$649.10M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$111.90M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year5.8% → 5.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$111.90M vs $649.10M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell20.1% → 25.7%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.74 → 0.84
- No dilutionShare count did not rise41M → 38M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year17.88% → 17.91%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose2.23 → 2.13
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