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Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) stock analysis

ALLYNYSEState Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 2, 2026Score 14/3024% below fair value
$38.27+0.60 (+1.59%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $11.64BP/E 8.8Yield 3.14%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value6Growth2Performance0Health3Dividend3

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Ally Financial passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
6/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 23.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $38.27 is below our fair value estimate of $50.09.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 135% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -4.7% a year.

  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Ally Financial's P/E of 8.8 is below its own 5-year median of 10.4.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Heavy borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 167% of equity.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 4.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation6/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Ally Financial's P/E of 8.8 is below its own 5-year median of 10.4.

  • P/E below the industry

    Ally Financial's P/E of 8.8 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • P/S below the industry

    Ally Financial's price-to-sales of 1.32 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.60.

  • P/B below the industry

    Ally Financial's price-to-book of 0.78 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $38.27 is below our fair value estimate of $50.09.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 23.6% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -22.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 135% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -4.7% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 13.1% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets under 1%

    Return on assets was 0.8%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Ally Financial's return on equity of 9.9% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 4.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.6%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Ally Financial's net margin of 16.8% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.3%.

Financial health3/6
  • Thin capital

    Equity is 7.4% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 92.6% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 2.6% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • Efficient operations

    Needs non-interest expense and revenue.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 5.0% over the past year.

  • Heavy borrowings

    Borrowings other than deposits are 167% of equity.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Ally Financial paid dividends worth 2.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.4% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Ally Financial yields 2.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 25.5% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$50.09

The share price is 24% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$38.27Price$50.09Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E11.2×10.4×12.1×$48.9450%
P/B1.0×0.8×1.3×$51.2450%
Fair value$50.09100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.4
  • Commercial Banks median 12.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$165.97M
Value traded per 1% price move
$125.23M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.9%
Volatility (annualized)
29%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.24
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.33

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

10.8%−5.5 pts over 5 years

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