Ameren Corp (AEE) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $31.36BP/E 19.9Yield 2.51%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak3 of 30 checks passed
Ameren passes 3 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
P/E below its 5-year median
Ameren's P/E of 19.9 is below its own 5-year median of 20.8.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Pays a dividend
Ameren paid dividends worth 2.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 8.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $113.28 is above our fair value estimate of $104.50.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 5.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 159% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Valuation1/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Ameren's P/E of 19.9 is below its own 5-year median of 20.8.
P/E above the industry
Ameren's P/E of 19.9 is above the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 19.2.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Ameren's EV/EBITDA of 13.9 is above its 5-year median of 13.6.
P/B above the industry
Ameren's price-to-book of 2.29 is above the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median of 1.74.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $113.28 is above our fair value estimate of $104.50.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 8.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 3.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 8.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 3.8% over the last twelve months; the Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median is 5.2%.
Guidance unchanged
The latest outlook (2026 earnings guidance range, Jul 30, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 5.9%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health0/6
High debt
Debt is 159% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 130% five years ago to 159%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 14.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 2.6 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.53 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.91; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
Ameren paid dividends worth 2.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Ameren yields 2.6%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$104.50
The share price is 8% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 20.0× | 20.8× | 19.2× | $113.57 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.8× | 13.6× | 14.0× | $112.37 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.0× | 2.2× | 1.7× | $96.83 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $67.09 | 15% |
| Fair value | $104.50 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 20.8
- Combination Electric and Gas, and Other Utility median 19.2
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $208.93M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $227.65M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 7.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 18%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.24
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.36
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +15.4% | +3.4% | +8.7% | +3.7% | |
| Operating income | +33.6% | +10.2% | +9.3% | +4.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | +21.0% | +8.9% | +8.9% | +7.5% | |
| Dividend per share | +6.0% | +6.4% | +7.3% | +5.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 9.3% | – | – | |
| Return on assets | 2.7% | – | – | |
| Current ratio | 0.60 | 0.76 | 0.66 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.48 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.61× | 4.60× | 5.45× | |
| Interest coverage | 3.5× | 3.1× | 2.6× | |
| Capex to revenue | 34.2% | 55.8% | 46.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 243M | 249M | 272M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Ameren generated $12.60B from operations and spent $22.19B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 85% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2017 | 8.5% | 0.24× | 3.54× | 7.3% |
| FY2016 | 10.7% | 0.25× | 3.44× | 9.3% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$3.35B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$3.35B vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell38.7% → 37.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.66 → 0.66
- No dilutionShare count did not rise267M → 272M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.19 → 0.20
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